NASDAQ: CHTR · Telecommunications Services
Charter Communications (CHTR) fair value and price range
As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Charter Communications (CHTR) at $154.88 a share. The stock last closed at $109.29, which puts the model's fair value 41.7% above the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Charter Communications, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 3 Oct 2026
Charter Communications, Inc. is a prominent U.S. broadband and cable operator, delivering services to residential and commercial customers nationwide.
Faircurve's model on 3 Oct 2026 found a fair value of $154.88 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The fair value moved -5.1% since the previous run on 26 Sep 2026, which gave $163.19. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $90.22 to $150.15, built from options volatility and calibrated weekly against realised prices, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low.
The business has an overall quality score of 55 out of 100 against comparable companies. Its quality factors include Profitability 76, Earnings quality 55, Growth quality 22, Capital discipline 54, Balance sheet 11, and Stability 100. The model compares it with Iridium Communications Inc., Comcast Corporation, and T-Mobile US, Inc. The stock moved around its last 8 earnings reports, with a median size, ignoring direction, of 12.0%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 3 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give CHTR?
The calibrated range for CHTR over 63 trading days is $90.22 to $150.15. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that CHTR's own options imply (72% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 3,562 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $0.00 to $402.73. In 57% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does CHTR score on business quality?
Charter Communications's overall quality score is 55 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 76 | 8.3%ROIC | 7.9% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 55 | 0.89xFCF / net income | 1.13x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 22 | -0.6%Revenue growth, trailing | 2.6% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 54 | 32.3%Net buybacks / market value | 4.8% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 11 | 4.79xNet debt / EBITDA | 3.29x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 100 | 0.3 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 3.7 pts |
How does CHTR compare with similar companies?
The companies in telecommunications services closest to Charter Communications in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECHO EchoStar Corporation | $94.25 | $78.46 | -16.8% | Data under review |
| LUMN Lumen Technologies, Inc. | $5.75 | $8.31 | +44.5% | Low evidence grade |
| IRDM Iridium Communications Inc. | $48.96 | $52.90 | +8.0% | Fairly valued |
| TDS Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. | $35.39 | $33.33 | -5.8% | Low evidence grade |
| CMCSA Comcast Corporation | $21.57 | $27.69 | +28.4% | Undervalued |
| T AT&T Inc. | $24.30 | $23.57 | -3.0% | Low evidence grade |
| TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | $163.64 | $153.96 | -5.9% | Fairly valued |
| VZ Verizon Communications Inc. | $45.92 | $42.25 | -8.0% | Low evidence grade |
All telecommunications services stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does CHTR report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Charter Communications's next earnings report is scheduled for 30 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 9.0% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. CHTR's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 20.9% over one month.
How CHTR moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 12.0%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | +4.0% |
| 24 Apr 2026 | -27.8% |
| 30 Jan 2026 | +11.5% |
| 31 Oct 2025 | -3.8% |
| 25 Jul 2025 | -21.5% |
| 25 Apr 2025 | +12.4% |
| 31 Jan 2025 | +1.4% |
| 1 Nov 2024 | +14.7% |
Charter Communications at a glance
Charter Communications, Inc. is a prominent U.S. broadband and cable operator, delivering services to residential and commercial customers nationwide.
- Market value
- $14.7B
- Sector
- Communication Services
- Industry
- Telecommunications Services
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $53.8B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -1.0%
- Analysts with estimates
- 5
- Beta to the US market
- 0.19
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Charter Communications on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for CHTR was $163.19. As of 3 Oct 2026 it is $154.88, a change of -5.1%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Charter Communications's valuation
Is Charter Communications stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts CHTR's fair value at $154.88 a share against a last close of $109.29, as of 3 Oct 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is CHTR's fair value?
$154.88 a share as of 3 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $0.00 to $402.73.
What price range does the model give CHTR?
$90.22 to $150.15 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 3,562 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026.
When does Charter Communications report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 30 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has CHTR moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 12.0%, ignoring direction. The largest was -27.8% around the report of 24 Apr 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for CHTR is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.