NYSE: ETR · Regulated Electric
Entergy (ETR) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 29 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Entergy (ETR) at $82.11 a share. The stock last closed at $100.91, which puts the model's fair value 18.6% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Overvalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Entergy Corporation.
Faircurve Insights · 29 Sep 2026
Entergy Corporation, headquartered in New Orleans, Louisiana, is a prominent American energy company primarily involved in generating and distributing electricity across the United States.
On 29 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model gave a fair value of $82.11 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This fair value moved -0.5% from the previous run on 26 Sep 2026, which gave $82.54. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $68.89 to $100.12, built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model's evidence grade is Medium.
The company's overall quality score is 30 out of 100 against comparable companies including Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) and Exelon Corporation (EXC). The stock's moves around its last 8 earnings reports ranged from -3.8% to +7.7%, with a median size of 4.0%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 29 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give ETR?
The calibrated range for ETR over 63 trading days is $68.89 to $100.12. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is above this range. For names with fair value 15%+ below price, the calibrated range has held the price 40% of the time over 63 trading days, and 58% ended above it; the typical move was −0.1%.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $58.07 to $108.46. In 29% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does ETR score on business quality?
Entergy's overall quality score is 30 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 6 | 4.5%ROIC | 5.5% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 48 | -1.73xFCF / net income | -0.66x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 49 | 9.0%Revenue growth, trailing | 10.9% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 30 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 0.0% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 23 | 5.89xNet debt / EBITDA | 5.50x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 38 | 4.1 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 2.7 pts |
How does ETR compare with similar companies?
The companies in regulated electric closest to Entergy in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XEL Xcel Energy Inc. | $71.40 | $64.09 | -10.2% | Fairly valued |
| EXC Exelon Corporation | $40.73 | $47.32 | +16.2% | Undervalued |
| D Dominion Energy, Inc. | $61.31 | $53.43 | -12.9% | Fairly valued |
| ED Consolidated Edison, Inc. | $103.39 | $102.48 | -0.9% | Fairly valued |
| PEG Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated | $68.07 | $66.67 | -2.1% | Low evidence grade |
| PCG PG&E Corporation | $12.32 | $15.72 | +27.6% | Undervalued |
| WEC WEC Energy Group, Inc. | $101.59 | $97.19 | -4.3% | Fairly valued |
| AEP American Electric Power Company, Inc. | $119.57 | $123.21 | +3.0% | Fairly valued |
When does ETR report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Entergy's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How ETR moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.0%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | -3.8% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | +4.2% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | +4.9% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | +1.1% |
| 30 Jul 2025 | +2.5% |
| 29 Apr 2025 | -2.3% |
| 18 Feb 2025 | +5.9% |
| 31 Oct 2024 | +7.7% |
Entergy at a glance
Entergy Corporation, headquartered in New Orleans, Louisiana, is a prominent American energy company primarily involved in generating and distributing electricity across the United States.
- Market value
- $46.0B
- Sector
- Utilities
- Industry
- Regulated Electric
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $15.0B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +7.9%
- Analysts with estimates
- 13
- Beta to the US market
- 0.12
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Entergy on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for ETR was $82.54. As of 29 Sep 2026 it is $82.11, a change of -0.5%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Entergy's valuation
Is Entergy stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, ETR reads as Overvalued as of 29 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $82.11 a share against a last close of $100.91, a gap of -18.6%.
What is ETR's fair value?
$82.11 a share as of 29 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $58.07 to $108.46.
What price range does the model give ETR?
$68.89 to $100.12 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Entergy report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has ETR moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.0%, ignoring direction. The largest was +7.7% around the report of 31 Oct 2024.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for ETR is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.