NYSE: FRT · Retail REITs
Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) at $93.66 a share. The stock last closed at $106.69, which puts the model's fair value 12.2% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Overvalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Federal Realty Investment Trust.
Faircurve Insights · 3 Oct 2026
Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) specializes in the acquisition, management, and redevelopment of high-quality retail properties.
On 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model found a fair value of $93.66 a share for Federal Realty Investment Trust. This fair value blends three methods. The previous run, on 26 Sep 2026, gave $94.00, meaning the fair value moved -0.4%. The model’s calibrated range over 63 trading days is $78.14 to $113.55. This range is built from the fair value, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is High.
The model compares Federal Realty Investment Trust with Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX), Agree Realty Corporation (ADC), NNN REIT, Inc. (NNN), Regency Centers Corporation (REG), Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM), Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG), and Phillips Edison & Co. (PECO). The moves around the last 8 earnings reports range from -5.0% to +3.2%, with a median size of 1.8%, ignoring direction.
Written from the figures on this page for the 3 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give FRT?
The calibrated range for FRT over 63 trading days is $78.14 to $113.55. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own range is $86.75 to $101.39.
How does FRT compare with similar companies?
The companies in retail reits closest to Federal Realty Investment Trust in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. | $27.39 | $30.53 | +11.5% | Undervalued |
| ADC Agree Realty Corporation | $65.88 | $51.08 | -22.5% | Overvalued |
| NNN NNN REIT, Inc. | $40.95 | $42.18 | +3.0% | Fairly valued |
| MAC The Macerich Company | $23.05 | $8.01 | -65.2% | Gap wider than 60% |
| REG Regency Centers Corporation | $71.60 | $63.22 | -11.7% | Overvalued |
| KIM Kimco Realty Corporation | $22.24 | $21.78 | -2.1% | Fairly valued |
| KRG Kite Realty Group Trust | $24.39 | $33.72 | +38.3% | Undervalued |
| PECO Phillips Edison & Co. | $37.76 | $31.68 | -16.1% | Overvalued |
When does FRT report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Federal Realty Investment Trust's next earnings report is scheduled for 30 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How FRT moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 1.8%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | -0.4% |
| 1 May 2026 | +3.2% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | -2.0% |
| 31 Oct 2025 | +0.9% |
| 6 Aug 2025 | -1.1% |
| 8 May 2025 | -1.8% |
| 13 Feb 2025 | -5.0% |
| 30 Oct 2024 | -1.8% |
Federal Realty Investment Trust at a glance
Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) stands out as a premier entity specializing in the acquisition, management, and redevelopment of high-quality retail properties.
- Market value
- $9.2B
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Retail REITs
- Beta to the US market
- 0.17
- First valued by Faircurve
- 4 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model values Federal Realty Investment Trust three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for FRT was $94.00. As of 3 Oct 2026 it is $93.66, a change of -0.4%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Federal Realty Investment Trust's valuation
Is Federal Realty Investment Trust stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, FRT reads as Overvalued as of 3 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $93.66 a share against a last close of $106.69, a gap of -12.2%.
What is FRT's fair value?
$93.66 a share as of 3 Oct 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $86.75 to $101.39.
What price range does the model give FRT?
$78.14 to $113.55 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026.
When does Federal Realty Investment Trust report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 30 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has FRT moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 1.8%, ignoring direction. The largest was -5.0% around the report of 13 Feb 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for FRT is high. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.