NYSE: GEV · Industrial Machinery
GE Vernova (GEV) fair value and price range
As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values GE Vernova (GEV) at $998.65 a share. The stock last closed at $988.70, which puts the model's fair value 1.0% above the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. GE Vernova Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 3 Oct 2026
GE Vernova Inc. is an energy enterprise primarily engaged in generating electricity. Its business activities are categorized into three main divisions: Power, Wind, and Electrification.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $998.65 a share for GE Vernova Inc. on 3 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This fair value moved -16.3% from the previous run on 26 Sep 2026, which gave $1,193.70. The model's calibrated range over 63 trading days is $867.43 to $1,227.97, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown.
The company's overall quality score is 87 out of 100, against comparable companies including Parker-Hannifin Corporation, Trane Technologies plc, and Emerson Electric Co. The model's quality factors show Profitability 100, Earnings quality 97, Growth quality 71, Capital discipline 76, Balance sheet 100, and Stability 55. The stock's moves around its last 8 earnings reports show a median size of 6.3%, ignoring direction.
Written from the figures on this page for the 3 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give GEV?
The calibrated range for GEV over 63 trading days is $867.43 to $1,227.97. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that GEV's own options imply (49% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 3,562 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $628.58 to $1,559.71. In 51% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does GEV score on business quality?
GE Vernova's overall quality score is 87 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 100 | 45.5%ROIC | |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 97 | 1.31xFCF / net income | |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 71 | 8.9%Revenue growth, trailing | 42.5% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 76 | 2.1%Net buybacks / market value | 0.0% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 100 | -1.06xNet debt / EBITDA | |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 55 | 3.2 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y |
How does GEV compare with similar companies?
The companies in industrial machinery closest to GE Vernova in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation | $972.55 | $857.79 | -11.8% | Fairly valued |
| TT Trane Technologies plc | $463.91 | $455.07 | -1.9% | Fairly valued |
| EMR Emerson Electric Co. | $161.61 | $167.42 | +3.6% | Fairly valued |
| ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. | $262.92 | $286.79 | +9.1% | Fairly valued |
| CMI Cummins Inc. | $528.32 | $614.42 | +16.3% | Undervalued |
| PCAR PACCAR Inc | $109.68 | $114.63 | +4.5% | Fairly valued |
| ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc. | $454.35 | $418.42 | -7.9% | Fairly valued |
| CARR Carrier Global Corporation | $55.12 | $57.16 | +3.7% | Fairly valued |
When does GEV report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
GE Vernova's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 7.0% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. GEV's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 14.3% over one month.
How GEV moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 6.3%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | -4.4% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | +16.0% |
| 28 Jan 2026 | +3.6% |
| 22 Oct 2025 | +1.7% |
| 23 Jul 2025 | +13.7% |
| 23 Apr 2025 | +10.6% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | +5.2% |
| 23 Oct 2024 | +7.4% |
GE Vernova at a glance
GE Vernova Inc. is an energy enterprise primarily engaged in generating electricity. Its business activities are categorized into three main divisions: Power, Wind, and Electrification.
- Market value
- $263.3B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Industrial Machinery
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $51.4B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +21.6%
- Analysts with estimates
- 15
- Beta to the US market
- 2.00
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices GE Vernova on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for GEV was $1,193.70. As of 3 Oct 2026 it is $998.65, a change of -16.3%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about GE Vernova's valuation
Is GE Vernova stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts GEV's fair value at $998.65 a share against a last close of $988.70, as of 3 Oct 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is GEV's fair value?
$998.65 a share as of 3 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $628.58 to $1,559.71.
What price range does the model give GEV?
$867.43 to $1,227.97 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 3,562 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026.
When does GE Vernova report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has GEV moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 6.3%, ignoring direction. The largest was +16.0% around the report of 22 Apr 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for GEV is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.