NYSE: GM · Auto Manufacturers
General Motors (GM) fair value and price range
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values General Motors (GM) at $86.33 a share. The stock last closed at $78.27, which puts the model's fair value 10.3% above the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. General Motors Company.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
General Motors Company is a prominent global automotive enterprise engaged in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of vehicles, parts and accessories.
Faircurve's model on 26 Sep 2026 gave a fair value of $86.33 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This fair value moved +0.5% from the previous run on 19 Sep 2026, which gave $85.92. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $70.52 to $93.91, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, over 3,330 past valuations. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low.
The model compares General Motors Company with Harley-Davidson, Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., and O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. The moves around the last 8 earnings reports show a median size of 7.5%, ignoring direction. For example, on 21 Jul 2026, the move was +8.4%, and on 28 Apr 2026, it was -1.7%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give GM?
The calibrated range for GM over 63 trading days is $70.52 to $93.91. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that GM's own options imply (40% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 3,330 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $41.77 to $137.83. In 52% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does GM compare with similar companies?
The companies in auto manufacturers closest to General Motors in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F Ford Motor Company | $12.10 | $12.75 | +5.4% | Low evidence grade |
| TSLA Tesla, Inc. | $370.59 | $325.43 | -12.2% | Data under review |
| HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc. | $24.55 | $24.29 | -1.1% | Fairly valued |
| ROST Ross Stores, Inc. | $228.54 | $231.17 | +1.2% | Fairly valued |
| ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | $84.90 | $90.35 | +6.4% | Fairly valued |
| CVNA Carvana Co. | $63.78 | $60.65 | -4.9% | Low evidence grade |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | $319.36 | $288.17 | -9.8% | Low evidence grade |
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | $277.74 | $258.69 | -6.9% | Low evidence grade |
When does GM report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
General Motors's next earnings report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 5.3% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. GM's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 11.7% over one month.
How GM moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 7.5%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026 | +8.4% |
| 28 Apr 2026 | -1.7% |
| 27 Jan 2026 | +6.9% |
| 21 Oct 2025 | +16.1% |
| 22 Jul 2025 | -0.2% |
| 29 Apr 2025 | -4.2% |
| 28 Jan 2025 | -9.4% |
| 22 Oct 2024 | +8.2% |
General Motors at a glance
General Motors Company, a prominent global automotive enterprise, is engaged in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of a wide array of vehicles, including trucks, crossovers (SUVs), and passenger cars, along with related parts and accessories.
- Market value
- $74.7B
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Auto Manufacturers
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $188.9B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +0.4%
- Analysts with estimates
- 13
- Beta to the US market
- 1.02
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices General Motors on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the revenue analysts expect next year (forward EV/Sales), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for GM was $85.92. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $86.33, a change of +0.5%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about General Motors's valuation
Is General Motors stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts GM's fair value at $86.33 a share against a last close of $78.27, as of 26 Sep 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is GM's fair value?
$86.33 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $41.77 to $137.83.
What price range does the model give GM?
$70.52 to $93.91 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 3,330 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does General Motors report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has GM moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 7.5%, ignoring direction. The largest was +16.1% around the report of 21 Oct 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for GM is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.