NASDAQ: GT · Auto Parts
Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) fair value and price range
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) at $5.78 a share. The stock last closed at $4.84, which puts the model's fair value 19.4% above the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, along with its subsidiaries, functions as a global leader in the development, production, marketing, and sale of tires, alongside a suite of related products and services.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $5.78 a share on 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This fair value moved -2.4% since the previous run on 19 Sep 2026, which gave $5.92. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $4.85 to $7.05, built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices, which held the price 60% of the time. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low.
The business has an overall quality score of 39 out of 100 against comparable companies. Its profitability is 14, with ROIC at 3.8% versus a peer median of 8.2%, and its balance sheet scores 0, with Net debt / EBITDA at 28.08x against a peer median of 4.92x. The model compares it with XPEL, Inc., Gentherm Incorporated, PHINIA Inc., Visteon Corporation, Standard Motor Products, Inc., and Dana Incorporated. Around the last 8 earnings reports, moves measured from the close before each report to the close after it include -6.0% on 5 Aug 2026 and +12.3% on 4 Nov 2024. The median size of these moves is 10.1%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give GT?
The calibrated range for GT over 63 trading days is $4.85 to $7.05. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is below this range. For names with fair value 15 to 30% above price, the calibrated range has held the price 50% of the time over 63 trading days, and 47% ended below it; the typical move was +4.1%.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $0.00 to $14.76. In 54% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does GT score on business quality?
Goodyear Tire & Rubber's overall quality score is 39 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 14 | 3.8%ROIC | 8.2% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 100 | ||
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 34 | -3.2%Revenue growth, trailing | -1.6% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 21 | 0.1%Net buybacks / market value | 6.3% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 0 | 28.08xNet debt / EBITDA | 4.92x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 57 | 1.7 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.9 pts |
How does GT compare with similar companies?
The companies in auto parts closest to Goodyear Tire & Rubber in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADNT Adient plc | $17.31 | $28.41 | +64.1% | Gap wider than 60% |
| XPEL XPEL, Inc. | $44.97 | $41.54 | -7.6% | Fairly valued |
| THRM Gentherm Incorporated | $31.30 | $37.37 | +19.4% | Undervalued |
| PHIN PHINIA Inc. | $59.78 | $83.27 | +39.3% | Undervalued |
| VC Visteon Corporation | $88.77 | $113.16 | +27.5% | Undervalued |
| SMP Standard Motor Products, Inc. | $37.52 | $40.51 | +8.0% | Fairly valued |
| FOXF Fox Factory Holding Corp. | $18.65 | $16.67 | -10.6% | Low evidence grade |
| DAN Dana Incorporated | $27.88 | $28.47 | +2.1% | Fairly valued |
When does GT report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Goodyear Tire & Rubber's next earnings report is scheduled for 2 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How GT moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 10.1%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | -6.0% |
| 6 May 2026 | -3.1% |
| 9 Feb 2026 | -13.7% |
| 3 Nov 2025 | +7.8% |
| 7 Aug 2025 | -15.9% |
| 7 May 2025 | +5.1% |
| 13 Feb 2025 | +16.4% |
| 4 Nov 2024 | +12.3% |
Goodyear Tire & Rubber at a glance
The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company, along with its subsidiaries, functions as a global leader in the development, production, marketing, and sale of tires, alongside a suite of related products and services.
- Market value
- $1.5B
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Auto Parts
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $18.2B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -2.9%
- Analysts with estimates
- 5
- Beta to the US market
- 0.82
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Goodyear Tire & Rubber on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for GT was $5.92. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $5.78, a change of -2.4%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Goodyear Tire & Rubber's valuation
Is Goodyear Tire & Rubber stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts GT's fair value at $5.78 a share against a last close of $4.84, as of 26 Sep 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is GT's fair value?
$5.78 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $0.00 to $14.76.
What price range does the model give GT?
$4.85 to $7.05 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Goodyear Tire & Rubber report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 2 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has GT moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 10.1%, ignoring direction. The largest was +16.4% around the report of 13 Feb 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for GT is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.