NASDAQ: HAS · Leisure
Hasbro (HAS) fair value and price range
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Hasbro (HAS) at $85.10 a share. The stock last closed at $89.54, which puts the model's fair value 5.0% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Hasbro, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
Hasbro, Inc., alongside its various subsidiaries, operates as a global leader in the play and entertainment industry. Its Consumer Products segment focuses on the procurement, marketing, and global distribution of toys and games.
Faircurve's model valued Hasbro at $85.10 a share on 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This was a move of +0.4% from the previous run on 19 Sep 2026, which gave $84.73. The model’s calibrated range over 63 trading days was $71.40 to $103.76, built from the fair value, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model graded the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict was shown.
The overall quality score for the business was 75 out of 100 against comparable companies. Its profitability was 100 with ROIC 26.9% against a peer median of 14.0%, and its earnings quality was 95 with FCF / net income 1.53x against a peer median of 1.28x. Comparable companies the model uses include Acushnet Holdings Corp. (GOLF), Mattel, Inc. (MAT), YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI), and OneSpaWorld Holdings Ltd (OSW). Moves around the last 8 earnings reports had a median size, ignoring direction, of 8.2%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give HAS?
The calibrated range for HAS over 63 trading days is $71.40 to $103.76. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $44.29 to $148.81. In 48% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does HAS score on business quality?
Hasbro's overall quality score is 75 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 100 | 26.9%ROIC | 14.0% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 95 | 1.53xFCF / net income | 1.28x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 70 | 13.7%Revenue growth, trailing | 2.3% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 64 | 0.3%Net buybacks / market value | 6.8% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 48 | 2.04xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.24x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 3 | 13.0 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 3.2 pts |
How does HAS compare with similar companies?
The companies in leisure closest to Hasbro in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. | $40.99 | $36.51 | -10.9% | Low evidence grade |
| GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp. | $83.65 | $69.54 | -16.9% | Overvalued |
| MAT Mattel, Inc. | $15.27 | $14.13 | -7.5% | Fairly valued |
| PLNT Planet Fitness, Inc. | $42.41 | $46.49 | +9.6% | Low evidence grade |
| YETI YETI Holdings, Inc. | $40.87 | $43.78 | +7.1% | Fairly valued |
| OSW OneSpaWorld Holdings Ltd | $23.62 | $22.17 | -6.1% | Fairly valued |
| FUN Six Flags Entertainment Corporation | $11.60 | $8.84 | -23.8% | Low evidence grade |
When does HAS report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Hasbro's next earnings report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 5.2% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
How HAS moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 8.2%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026 | +9.1% |
| 20 May 2026 | -7.3% |
| 10 Feb 2026 | +9.5% |
| 23 Oct 2025 | +2.0% |
| 23 Jul 2025 | -3.2% |
| 24 Apr 2025 | +15.8% |
| 20 Feb 2025 | +10.5% |
| 24 Oct 2024 | -5.6% |
Hasbro at a glance
Hasbro, Inc., alongside its various subsidiaries, operates as a global leader in the play and entertainment industry. Its Consumer Products segment focuses on the procurement, marketing, and global distribution of toys and games.
- Market value
- $12.4B
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Leisure
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $5.3B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +7.5%
- Analysts with estimates
- 8
- Beta to the US market
- 0.72
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Hasbro on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for HAS was $84.73. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $85.10, a change of +0.4%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Hasbro's valuation
Is Hasbro stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts HAS's fair value at $85.10 a share against a last close of $89.54, as of 26 Sep 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is HAS's fair value?
$85.10 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $44.29 to $148.81.
What price range does the model give HAS?
$71.40 to $103.76 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Hasbro report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has HAS moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 8.2%, ignoring direction. The largest was +15.8% around the report of 24 Apr 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for HAS is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.