NYSE: KWR · Specialty Chemicals
Quaker Houghton (KWR) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Quaker Houghton (KWR) at $138.60 a share. The stock last closed at $160.73, which puts the model's fair value 13.8% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Quaker Houghton.
Faircurve Insights · 3 Oct 2026
Quaker Chemical Corporation is a global provider of specialized chemical formulations, which it develops, produces, and markets for a broad spectrum of heavy industrial and manufacturing applications.
On 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model found a fair value of $138.60 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run on 26 Sep 2026 gave the same fair value. The calibrated range over 63 trading days, built from the fair value, was $115.64 to $168.03. This range held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, calibrated weekly against realised prices from 4,809 past valuations. The evidence grade for this fair value is Medium.
The company's overall quality score is 57 out of 100 against comparable companies. Its quality factors include Profitability 50, Earnings quality 48, Growth quality 73, Capital discipline 75, Balance sheet 55, and Stability 50. The model compares it with Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN), WD-40 Company (WDFC), H.B. Fuller Company (FUL), Ashland Inc. (ASH), Innospec Inc. (IOSP), and Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX). Moves around the last 8 earnings reports had a median size, ignoring direction, of 5.3%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 3 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give KWR?
The calibrated range for KWR over 63 trading days is $115.64 to $168.03. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $93.64 to $197.14. In 37% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does KWR score on business quality?
Quaker Houghton's overall quality score is 57 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 50 | 6.4%ROIC | 5.5% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 48 | 0.92xFCF / net income | 0.78x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 73 | 2.7%Revenue growth, trailing | -2.4% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 75 | 1.2%Net buybacks / market value | 1.6% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 55 | 2.91xNet debt / EBITDA | 3.62x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 50 | 3.0 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 2.4 pts |
How does KWR compare with similar companies?
The companies in specialty chemicals closest to Quaker Houghton in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWKN Hawkins, Inc. | $131.41 | $121.50 | -7.5% | Fairly valued |
| WDFC WD-40 Company | $203.02 | $189.63 | -6.6% | Fairly valued |
| FUL H.B. Fuller Company | $50.20 | $57.71 | +15.0% | Fairly valued |
| NGVT Ingevity Corporation | $72.41 | $73.74 | +1.8% | Low evidence grade |
| ASH Ashland Inc. | $69.52 | $65.19 | -6.2% | Fairly valued |
| IOSP Innospec Inc. | $97.41 | $91.28 | -6.3% | Fairly valued |
| CC The Chemours Company | $13.71 | $13.52 | -1.4% | Low evidence grade |
| MTX Minerals Technologies Inc. | $66.43 | $74.02 | +11.4% | Fairly valued |
When does KWR report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Quaker Houghton's next earnings report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 10.6% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 48 days out, a window that includes the report. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
How KWR moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 5.3%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | +7.9% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | +6.9% |
| 23 Feb 2026 | -9.2% |
| 30 Oct 2025 | +6.5% |
| 31 Jul 2025 | +2.8% |
| 1 May 2025 | +1.1% |
| 24 Feb 2025 | +1.9% |
| 31 Oct 2024 | +4.2% |
Quaker Houghton at a glance
Quaker Chemical Corporation is a global provider of specialized chemical formulations, which it develops, produces, and markets for a broad spectrum of heavy industrial and manufacturing applications.
- Market value
- $2.8B
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Specialty Chemicals
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $2.1B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +7.6%
- Analysts with estimates
- 5
- Beta to the US market
- 1.14
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Quaker Houghton on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for KWR was $138.61. It is unchanged at $138.60 as of 3 Oct 2026. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Quaker Houghton's valuation
Is Quaker Houghton stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, KWR reads as Fairly valued as of 3 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $138.60 a share against a last close of $160.73, a gap of -13.8%.
What is KWR's fair value?
$138.60 a share as of 3 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $93.64 to $197.14.
What price range does the model give KWR?
$115.64 to $168.03 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026.
When does Quaker Houghton report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has KWR moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 5.3%, ignoring direction. The largest was -9.2% around the report of 23 Feb 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for KWR is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.