NASDAQ: LAUR · Education & Training Services

Laureate Education (LAUR) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?

As of 28 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Laureate Education (LAUR) at $34.86 a share. The stock last closed at $38.62, which puts the model's fair value 9.7% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.

Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Laureate Education, Inc.

Model fair value$34.86midpoint of 2,000 simulations
Last close$38.62NASDAQ: LAUR
Gap to fair value-9.7%fair value against price
Model verdictFairly valuedevidence grade: Medium

Faircurve Insights · 28 Sep 2026

Laureate Education, Inc., operating alongside its various subsidiaries, delivers a diverse array of higher education services and academic programs to students via an extensive network of universities and specialized educational institutions.

Faircurve's model valued Laureate Education, Inc. on 28 Sep 2026. The model's fair value was $34.86 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 19 Sep 2026, gave $33.95, and the fair value moved +2.7%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days was $29.25 to $42.51. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade was Medium.

The overall quality score was 48 out of 100 against comparable companies. The model compared it with Covista Inc. (CVSA), Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE), Stride, Inc. (LRN), Perdoceo Education Corporation (PRDO), and Strategic Education, Inc. (STRA). Moves around the last 8 earnings reports had a median size, ignoring direction, of 1.8%.

Written from the figures on this page for the 28 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.

What price range does the model give LAUR?

The calibrated range for LAUR over 63 trading days is $29.25 to $42.51. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.

The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $23.32 to $50.32. In 44% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.

$13.91$84.51
Spread of the 2,000 simulated fair values. Solid line: the midpoint, $34.86. Dashed line: the last close, $38.62.

How does LAUR score on business quality?

Laureate Education's overall quality score is 48 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.

FactorScore (0 to 100)Headline measurePeer median
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend.7418.9%ROIC15.5%
Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash).250.89xFCF / net income1.35x
Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions.488.6%Revenue growth, trailing9.3%
Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks.446.4%Net buybacks / market value6.3%
Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage.610.99xNet debt / EBITDA0.28x
StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years.58.8 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y1.6 pts

How does LAUR compare with similar companies?

The companies in education & training services closest to Laureate Education in market value, each on the same model and the same date.

CompanyLast closeModel fair valueGapModel verdict
CVSA Covista Inc.$125.48$122.12-2.7%Fairly valued
LOPE Grand Canyon Education, Inc.$155.79$153.00-1.8%Fairly valued
LRN Stride, Inc.$78.89$82.64+4.8%Fairly valued
PRDO Perdoceo Education Corporation$31.91$34.76+8.9%Fairly valued
STRA Strategic Education, Inc.$79.72$77.79-2.4%Fairly valued

All education & training services stocks ranked by gap to fair value

When does LAUR report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?

Laureate Education's next earnings report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.

How LAUR moved around its last 8 earnings reports

Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 1.8%.

Report dateTwo session move
30 Jul 2026-0.3%
30 Apr 2026-1.1%
19 Feb 2026-6.5%
30 Oct 2025+0.5%
31 Jul 2025+0.4%
1 May 2025+17.7%
20 Feb 2025-2.6%
31 Oct 2024+8.6%

Laureate Education at a glance

Laureate Education, Inc., operating alongside its various subsidiaries, delivers a diverse array of higher education services and academic programs to students via an extensive network of universities and specialized educational institutions.

Market value
$5.2B
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Education & Training Services
Revenue expected, next twelve months
$2.0B
Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
+12.9%
Analysts with estimates
3
Beta to the US market
0.28
First valued by Faircurve
11 Jul 2026

How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Laureate Education on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.

What changed in the latest valuation?

On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for LAUR was $33.95. As of 28 Sep 2026 it is $34.86, a change of +2.7%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.

Questions about Laureate Education's valuation

Is Laureate Education stock undervalued or overvalued?

On Faircurve's model, LAUR reads as Fairly valued as of 28 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $34.86 a share against a last close of $38.62, a gap of -9.7%.

What is LAUR's fair value?

$34.86 a share as of 28 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $23.32 to $50.32.

What price range does the model give LAUR?

$29.25 to $42.51 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.

When does Laureate Education report earnings next?

The next report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.

How much has LAUR moved on past earnings reports?

Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 1.8%, ignoring direction. The largest was +17.7% around the report of 1 May 2025.

How confident is the model in this valuation?

The model's evidence grade for LAUR is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.

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