NASDAQ: PECO · Retail REITs
Phillips Edison (PECO) fair value and price range
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Phillips Edison (PECO) at $32.32 a share. The stock last closed at $37.76, which puts the model's fair value 14.4% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many valuation methods could be applied and whether they agree with each other, and how many comparable companies there are. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Phillips Edison & Co.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. is one of the nation’s largest owners and operators of high-quality, grocery-anchored neighborhood shopping centers.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $32.32 a share for Phillips Edison & Co. on 26 Sep 2026. This was a -6.1% move from the $34.41 fair value on 19 Sep 2026. The calibrated range over 63 trading days was $27.12 to $39.41, built from the fair value. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, over 4,327 past valuations. The model graded the evidence behind this valuation as low.
The model compares Phillips Edison & Co. with Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX). Moves around the last 8 earnings reports were: 23 Jul 2026 +0.4%, 23 Apr 2026 +3.2%, 5 Feb 2026 +0.8%, 23 Oct 2025 -0.2%, 24 Jul 2025 -0.7%, 24 Apr 2025 +1.9%, 6 Feb 2025 +1.2%, 24 Oct 2024 -1.9%. The median size of these moves, ignoring direction, was 1.0%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give PECO?
The calibrated range for PECO over 63 trading days is $27.12 to $39.41. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own range is $29.41 to $35.49.
How does PECO compare with similar companies?
The companies in retail reits closest to Phillips Edison in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRG Kite Realty Group Trust | $24.39 | $33.96 | +39.2% | No verdict on this run |
| SKT Tanger Inc. | $35.11 | $30.81 | -12.2% | No verdict on this run |
| MAC The Macerich Company | $23.05 | $8.00 | -65.3% | Gap wider than 60% |
| CURB Curbline Properties Corp. | $28.27 | $14.11 | -50.1% | Low evidence grade |
| NNN NNN REIT, Inc. | $40.95 | $42.65 | +4.2% | No verdict on this run |
| ADC Agree Realty Corporation | $65.88 | $51.00 | -22.6% | No verdict on this run |
| BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. | $27.39 | $30.46 | +11.2% | Undervalued |
| AKR Acadia Realty Trust | $18.63 | $14.67 | -21.3% | Low evidence grade |
When does PECO report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Phillips Edison's next earnings report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How PECO moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 1.0%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | +0.4% |
| 23 Apr 2026 | +3.2% |
| 5 Feb 2026 | +0.8% |
| 23 Oct 2025 | -0.2% |
| 24 Jul 2025 | -0.7% |
| 24 Apr 2025 | +1.9% |
| 6 Feb 2025 | +1.2% |
| 24 Oct 2024 | -1.9% |
Phillips Edison at a glance
Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. is one of the nation’s largest owners and operators of high-quality, grocery-anchored neighborhood shopping centers.
- Market value
- $4.8B
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Retail REITs
- Beta to the US market
- -0.14
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model values Phillips Edison three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for PECO was $34.41. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $32.32, a change of -6.1%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Phillips Edison's valuation
Is Phillips Edison stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts PECO's fair value at $32.32 a share against a last close of $37.76, as of 26 Sep 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many valuation methods could be applied and whether they agree with each other, and how many comparable companies there are. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is PECO's fair value?
$32.32 a share as of 26 Sep 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $29.41 to $35.49.
What price range does the model give PECO?
$27.12 to $39.41 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Phillips Edison report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has PECO moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 1.0%, ignoring direction. The largest was +3.2% around the report of 23 Apr 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for PECO is low. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many valuation methods could be applied and whether they agree with each other, and how many comparable companies there are. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.