NASDAQ: SHEN · Telecommunications Services
Shenandoah Telecommunications (SHEN) fair value and price range
As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Shenandoah Telecommunications (SHEN) at $10.02 a share. The stock last closed at $10.86, which puts the model's fair value 7.7% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Shenandoah Telecommunications Company.
Faircurve Insights · 3 Oct 2026
Shenandoah Telecommunications Company, or Shentel, delivers a comprehensive array of broadband communication services and manages cell tower facilities throughout the Mid-Atlantic United States.
On 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model found a fair value of $10.02 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 26 Sep 2026, gave $10.77; the fair value moved -7.0%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $8.36 to $12.15, built from the fair value. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, calibrated weekly against realised prices (4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown.
The overall quality score is 35 out of 100, against comparable companies. The model compares it with Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM), which has a fair value of its own on the site. The stock has moved around its last 8 earnings reports, with a median size, ignoring direction, of 6.3%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 3 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give SHEN?
The calibrated range for SHEN over 63 trading days is $8.36 to $12.15. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $3.15 to $19.68. In 47% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does SHEN score on business quality?
Shenandoah Telecommunications's overall quality score is 35 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 0 | -1.1%ROIC | 1.7% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 63 | ||
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 67 | 9.1%Revenue growth, trailing | -6.5% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 19 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 0.1% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 9 | 6.06xNet debt / EBITDA | 3.99x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 60 | 2.1 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 9.6 pts |
How does SHEN compare with similar companies?
The companies in telecommunications services closest to Shenandoah Telecommunications in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCOI Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. | $8.46 | n/a | n/a | Data under review |
| GOGO Gogo Inc. | $2.11 | $2.11 | 0.0% | Low evidence grade |
| TDS Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. | $35.39 | $33.33 | -5.8% | Low evidence grade |
| IRDM Iridium Communications Inc. | $48.96 | $52.90 | +8.0% | Fairly valued |
| CABO Cable One, Inc. | $12.21 | n/a | n/a | Data under review |
| LUMN Lumen Technologies, Inc. | $5.75 | $8.31 | +44.5% | Low evidence grade |
| CHTR Charter Communications, Inc. | $109.29 | $154.88 | +41.7% | Low evidence grade |
| ECHO EchoStar Corporation | $94.25 | $78.46 | -16.8% | Data under review |
All telecommunications services stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does SHEN report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Shenandoah Telecommunications's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How SHEN moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 6.3%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | -0.2% |
| 1 May 2026 | -0.1% |
| 26 Feb 2026 | +0.6% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | -3.8% |
| 31 Jul 2025 | -10.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | +9.7% |
| 20 Feb 2025 | -8.8% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | -16.4% |
Shenandoah Telecommunications at a glance
Shenandoah Telecommunications Company, or Shentel, delivers a comprehensive array of broadband communication services and manages cell tower facilities throughout the Mid-Atlantic United States.
- Market value
- $601M
- Sector
- Communication Services
- Industry
- Telecommunications Services
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $390M
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +4.7%
- Analysts with estimates
- 1
- Beta to the US market
- 0.49
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Shenandoah Telecommunications on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for SHEN was $10.77. As of 3 Oct 2026 it is $10.02, a change of -7.0%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Shenandoah Telecommunications's valuation
Is Shenandoah Telecommunications stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts SHEN's fair value at $10.02 a share against a last close of $10.86, as of 3 Oct 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is SHEN's fair value?
$10.02 a share as of 3 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $3.15 to $19.68.
What price range does the model give SHEN?
$8.36 to $12.15 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026.
When does Shenandoah Telecommunications report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has SHEN moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 6.3%, ignoring direction. The largest was -16.4% around the report of 7 Nov 2024.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for SHEN is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.