NYSE: STAG · Industrial REITs
STAG Industrial (STAG) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 2 Nov 2026, Faircurve's model values STAG Industrial (STAG) at $34.66 a share. The stock last closed at $37.38, which puts the model's fair value 7.3% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Overvalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 3 Nov 2026. STAG Industrial, Inc.
The report adds the live price, the price chart and the next earnings date. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 2 Nov 2026 moved the fair value from $35.96 to $34.66 (-3.6%). The model does not yet explain moves on this valuation method.
What the model makes of itThe price of $37.38 is 7.3% above it: Overvalued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 10 Feb 2027. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give STAG?
The calibrated range for STAG over 63 trading days is $28.08 to $41.40. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own range is $32.39 to $36.92.
Faircurve Insights · 2 Nov 2026
STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment company. It acquires, owns and manages single-tenant industrial real estate assets.
Faircurve's model gives STAG Industrial a fair value of $34.66 a share on 2 Nov 2026. That is down from $35.96 on the previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, a move of -3.6%. The model does not yet explain moves on this valuation method. The model's calibrated range over 63 trading days runs from $28.08 to $41.40. The range is built from the fair value, since there is no live options data for the stock. It is calibrated weekly against realised prices, using 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model's evidence grade is High. For REITs the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
The model compares STAG Industrial with ten comparable companies, each with a fair value of its own on the site: Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO), First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. (FR), Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR), CubeSmart (CUBE), EastGroup Properties, Inc. (EGP), LXP Industrial Trust (LXP), Extra Space Storage Inc. (EXR), and Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc. (IIPR). The sheet gives no quality score, overall or by factor, and no peer median, so this note cannot report how the business scores against them.
Written from the figures on this page for the 2 Nov 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does STAG report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
STAG Industrial's next earnings report is scheduled for 10 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across STAG's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 2.1%.
How does STAG compare with similar companies?
The companies in industrial reits closest to STAG Industrial in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRNO Terreno Realty Corporation | $66.66 | $60.00 | -10.0% | Overvalued |
| FR First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. | $54.90 | $54.27 | -1.1% | Fairly valued |
| REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. | $38.28 | $42.81 | +11.8% | Undervalued |
| CUBE CubeSmart | $44.26 | $47.20 | +6.6% | Fairly valued |
| EGP EastGroup Properties, Inc. | $200.22 | $147.94 | -26.1% | Overvalued |
| LXP LXP Industrial Trust | $61.18 | $63.44 | +3.7% | Fairly valued |
| EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. | $156.23 | $138.48 | -11.4% | Overvalued |
| IIPR Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc. | $55.00 | $63.55 | +15.5% | Undervalued |
STAG Industrial at a glance
STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment company, which engages in acquiring, owning, and managing single-tenant, industrial real estate assets. It offers industrial real estate operating platform to real estate ownership.
- Market value
- $7.1B
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Industrial REITs
- Beta to the US market
- 0.17
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 3 Nov 2026, 52.1% of the 1,081 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. STAG was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model values STAG Industrial three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for STAG was $35.96. As of 2 Nov 2026 it is $34.66, a change of -3.6%. The model does not yet explain moves on this valuation method. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about STAG Industrial's valuation
Is STAG Industrial stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, STAG reads as Overvalued as of 2 Nov 2026. The model's fair value is $34.66 a share against a last close of $37.38, a gap of -7.3%.
What is STAG's fair value?
$34.66 a share as of 2 Nov 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $32.39 to $36.92.
What price range does the model give STAG?
$28.08 to $41.40 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does STAG Industrial report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 10 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has STAG moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 2.1%, ignoring direction. The largest was -5.5% around the report of 11 Feb 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for STAG is high. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on STAG
The model holds no idea open on STAG today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on STAG with their outcomes. A free account is enough.