NYSE: UDR · Residential REITs
UDR (UDR) fair value and price range
As of 28 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values UDR (UDR) at $40.85 a share. The stock last closed at $33.27, which puts the model's fair value 22.8% above the price. No verdict is shown for UDR on this run. The fair value and its range are shown for reference.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. UDR, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 28 Sep 2026
UDR, Inc. is a premier multifamily real estate investment trust. It is an S&P 500 company.
Faircurve's model valued UDR, Inc. on 28 Sep 2026 at $40.85 a share. This fair value blends a cash-flow multiple, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The previous run on 19 Sep 2026 gave $33.69, so the fair value moved +21.3%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $34.27 to $49.81. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is High because the company has at least three years of paid dividends with no cut.
UDR, Inc. is compared with American Homes 4 Rent, Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc., Camden Property Trust, Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc., Invitation Homes Inc., Essex Property Trust, Inc., Vivmark Residential, and Millrose Properties, Inc. The moves around the last 8 earnings reports had a median size of 3.2%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 28 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give UDR?
The calibrated range for UDR over 63 trading days is $34.27 to $49.81. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is below this range. For names with fair value 15 to 30% above price, the calibrated range has held the price 50% of the time over 63 trading days, and 47% ended below it; the typical move was +4.1%.
The model's own range is $37.21 to $44.93.
How does UDR compare with similar companies?
The companies in residential reits closest to UDR in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMH American Homes 4 Rent | $30.26 | $33.19 | +9.7% | No verdict on this run |
| ELS Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. | $58.25 | $42.53 | -27.0% | Low evidence grade |
| CPT Camden Property Trust | $95.96 | $95.65 | -0.3% | No verdict on this run |
| MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. | $115.22 | $121.16 | +5.2% | No verdict on this run |
| INVH Invitation Homes Inc. | $26.04 | $30.03 | +15.3% | No verdict on this run |
| ESS Essex Property Trust, Inc. | $268.65 | $193.69 | -27.9% | No verdict on this run |
| VMRK Vivmark Residential | $59.79 | $55.01 | -8.0% | Low evidence grade |
| MRP Millrose Properties, Inc. | $24.61 | $34.72 | +41.1% | Low evidence grade |
When does UDR report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
UDR's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How UDR moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 3.2%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | -1.5% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | +0.4% |
| 9 Feb 2026 | +4.9% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | -4.0% |
| 30 Jul 2025 | -3.2% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | +3.3% |
| 5 Feb 2025 | +3.1% |
| 30 Oct 2024 | -3.3% |
UDR at a glance
UDR, Inc. (NYSE: UDR), a distinguished S&P 500 company, stands as a premier multifamily real estate investment trust.
- Market value
- $10.9B
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Residential REITs
- Beta to the US market
- 0.22
- First valued by Faircurve
- 4 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model values UDR three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for UDR was $33.69. As of 28 Sep 2026 it is $40.85, a change of +21.3%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about UDR's valuation
Is UDR stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts UDR's fair value at $40.85 a share against a last close of $33.27, as of 28 Sep 2026. No verdict is shown for UDR on this run. The fair value and its range are shown for reference.
What is UDR's fair value?
$40.85 a share as of 28 Sep 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $37.21 to $44.93.
What price range does the model give UDR?
$34.27 to $49.81 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does UDR report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has UDR moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 3.2%, ignoring direction. The largest was +4.9% around the report of 9 Feb 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for UDR is high. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.