NYSE: UHS · Medical Care Facilities
Universal Health Services (UHS) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 28 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Universal Health Services (UHS) at $255.94 a share. The stock last closed at $175.72, which puts the model's fair value 45.7% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Undervalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Universal Health Services, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 28 Sep 2026
Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) owns and manages a network of acute care hospitals, along with outpatient and specialized behavioral health treatment centers. It operates through its various divisions as a healthcare entity.
Faircurve's model on 28 Sep 2026 found a fair value of $255.94 a share, which is the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run on 19 Sep 2026 gave $259.17, so the fair value moved -1.2%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $214.73 to $312.07; this range is built from the fair value, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model's evidence grade is High.
The business has an overall quality score of 44 out of 100 against comparable companies. The model compares it with DaVita Inc. (DVA), The Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG), Encompass Health Corporation (EHC), Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS), Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC), Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. (CON), and National HealthCare Corporation (NHC). The stock's moves around its last 8 earnings reports ranged from +6.7% to -13.4%, with a median size of 5.7%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 28 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give UHS?
The calibrated range for UHS over 63 trading days is $214.73 to $312.07. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is below this range. For names with fair value 30%+ above price, the calibrated range has held the price 29% of the time over 63 trading days, and 71% ended below it; the typical move was +5.7%.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $194.41 to $329.35. In 86% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does UHS score on business quality?
Universal Health Services's overall quality score is 44 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 62 | 12.3%ROIC | 10.6% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 6 | 0.54xFCF / net income | 1.13x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 43 | 9.7%Revenue growth, trailing | 13.9% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 57 | 9.9%Net buybacks / market value | 0.5% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 74 | 1.82xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.29x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 29 | 1.2 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 0.9 pts |
How does UHS compare with similar companies?
The companies in medical care facilities closest to Universal Health Services in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DVA DaVita Inc. | $178.69 | $230.01 | +28.7% | Undervalued |
| ENSG The Ensign Group, Inc. | $171.78 | $148.78 | -13.4% | Fairly valued |
| EHC Encompass Health Corporation | $119.80 | $119.78 | 0.0% | Fairly valued |
| CHE Chemed Corporation | $507.50 | $507.32 | 0.0% | Low evidence grade |
| HIMS Hims & Hers Health, Inc. | $29.00 | $29.24 | +0.8% | Fairly valued |
| THC Tenet Healthcare Corporation | $258.62 | $293.18 | +13.4% | Fairly valued |
| CON Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. | $35.65 | $38.11 | +6.9% | Fairly valued |
| NHC National HealthCare Corporation | $227.66 | $263.84 | +15.9% | Undervalued |
All medical care facilities stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does UHS report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Universal Health Services's next earnings report is scheduled for 26 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 5.1% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
How UHS moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 5.7%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | +6.7% |
| 27 Apr 2026 | -6.8% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | -11.2% |
| 27 Oct 2025 | +4.1% |
| 28 Jul 2025 | +4.6% |
| 28 Apr 2025 | +0.1% |
| 26 Feb 2025 | -1.6% |
| 24 Oct 2024 | -13.4% |
Universal Health Services at a glance
Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS), operating through its various divisions, is a healthcare entity that both owns and manages a network of acute care hospitals, along with outpatient and specialized behavioral health treatment centers.
- Market value
- $10.8B
- Sector
- Healthcare
- Industry
- Medical Care Facilities
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $19.3B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +7.1%
- Analysts with estimates
- 12
- Beta to the US market
- 0.18
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Universal Health Services on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for UHS was $259.17. As of 28 Sep 2026 it is $255.94, a change of -1.2%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Universal Health Services's valuation
Is Universal Health Services stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, UHS reads as Undervalued as of 28 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $255.94 a share against a last close of $175.72, a gap of +45.7%.
What is UHS's fair value?
$255.94 a share as of 28 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $194.41 to $329.35.
What price range does the model give UHS?
$214.73 to $312.07 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Universal Health Services report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 26 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has UHS moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 5.7%, ignoring direction. The largest was -13.4% around the report of 24 Oct 2024.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for UHS is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.