NYSE: VZ · Telecommunications Services
Verizon Communications (VZ) fair value and price range
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Verizon Communications (VZ) at $43.38 a share. The stock last closed at $45.92, which puts the model's fair value 5.5% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Verizon Communications Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
Verizon Communications Inc. operates as a prominent global provider of diverse communication, technology, information, and entertainment solutions, catering to individuals, enterprises, and government entities worldwide through its various divisions.
Faircurve's model valued Verizon Communications Inc. on 26 Sep 2026, giving a fair value of $43.38 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 19 Sep 2026, gave $39.63, so the fair value moved +9.5%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $42.95 to $51.62, built around the price from the volatility the stock's own options imply, calibrated weekly against realised prices, and held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, over 3,330 past valuations. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown.
The company's overall quality score is 47 out of 100 against comparable companies, with profitability at 24, earnings quality at 83, growth quality at 44, capital discipline at 41, balance sheet at 29, and stability at 73. The model compares it with T-Mobile US, Inc., Comcast Corporation, Iridium Communications Inc., and Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. Moves around the last 8 earnings reports include +8.0% on 24 Jul 2026, +1.9% on 27 Apr 2026, +12.1% on 30 Jan 2026, and -0.9% on 29 Oct 2025. The median size of these moves, ignoring direction, is 2.8%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give VZ?
The calibrated range for VZ over 63 trading days is $42.95 to $51.62. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that VZ's own options imply (26% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 3,330 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $22.97 to $68.51. In 45% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does VZ score on business quality?
Verizon Communications's overall quality score is 47 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 24 | 7.5%ROIC | 8.1% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 83 | 1.32xFCF / net income | 0.99x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 44 | 2.5%Revenue growth, trailing | 1.3% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 41 | 1.8%Net buybacks / market value | 7.4% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 29 | 3.89xNet debt / EBITDA | 3.29x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 73 | 2.0 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 3.7 pts |
How does VZ compare with similar companies?
The companies in telecommunications services closest to Verizon Communications in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | $163.64 | $155.70 | -4.9% | Fairly valued |
| T AT&T Inc. | $24.30 | $24.49 | +0.8% | Low evidence grade |
| CMCSA Comcast Corporation | $21.57 | $28.22 | +30.8% | Undervalued |
| CHTR Charter Communications, Inc. | $109.29 | $163.19 | +49.3% | Low evidence grade |
| ECHO EchoStar Corporation | $94.25 | $74.64 | -20.8% | Data under review |
| LUMN Lumen Technologies, Inc. | $5.75 | $8.27 | +43.8% | Low evidence grade |
| IRDM Iridium Communications Inc. | $48.96 | $52.68 | +7.6% | Fairly valued |
| TDS Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. | $35.39 | $36.58 | +3.4% | Fairly valued |
All telecommunications services stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does VZ report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Verizon Communications's next earnings report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 4.7% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. VZ's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 7.5% over one month.
How VZ moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 2.8%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | +8.0% |
| 27 Apr 2026 | +1.9% |
| 30 Jan 2026 | +12.1% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | -0.9% |
| 21 Jul 2025 | +5.2% |
| 22 Apr 2025 | -0.6% |
| 24 Jan 2025 | +3.7% |
| 22 Oct 2024 | -1.9% |
Verizon Communications at a glance
Verizon Communications Inc. operates as a prominent global provider of diverse communication, technology, information, and entertainment solutions, catering to individuals, enterprises, and government entities worldwide through its various divisions.
- Market value
- $196.6B
- Sector
- Communication Services
- Industry
- Telecommunications Services
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $142.7B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +2.0%
- Analysts with estimates
- 14
- Beta to the US market
- -0.30
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Verizon Communications on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for VZ was $39.63. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $43.38, a change of +9.5%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Verizon Communications's valuation
Is Verizon Communications stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts VZ's fair value at $43.38 a share against a last close of $45.92, as of 26 Sep 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is VZ's fair value?
$43.38 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $22.97 to $68.51.
What price range does the model give VZ?
$42.95 to $51.62 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 3,330 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Verizon Communications report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has VZ moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 2.8%, ignoring direction. The largest was +12.1% around the report of 30 Jan 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for VZ is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.