NYSE: CTRE · Healthcare Facility REITs
CareTrust REIT (CTRE) fair value and price range
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values CareTrust REIT (CTRE) at $31.40 a share. The stock last closed at $36.30, which puts the model's fair value 13.5% below the price. No verdict is shown for CTRE on this run. The fair value and its range are shown for reference.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. CareTrust REIT, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
CareTrust REIT, Inc. operates as a self-managed, publicly traded real estate investment trust.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $31.40 a share for CareTrust REIT, Inc. on 26 Sep 2026. This was an increase of 4.8% from the previous run on 19 Sep 2026, which gave $29.96. The calibrated range over 63 trading days was $26.34 to $38.29, built from the fair value, and held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade was High.
The model compared the company with American Healthcare REIT, Inc., Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated, Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc., Healthpeak Properties, Inc., Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc., LTC Properties, Inc., Medical Properties Trust, Inc., and Ventas, Inc. The stock moved around its last 8 earnings reports by a median of 2.3%, ignoring direction.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give CTRE?
The calibrated range for CTRE over 63 trading days is $26.34 to $38.29. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own range is $28.73 to $34.80.
How does CTRE compare with similar companies?
The companies in healthcare facility reits closest to CareTrust REIT in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHR American Healthcare REIT, Inc. | $50.75 | $23.10 | -54.5% | Low evidence grade |
| HR Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated | $17.47 | $16.25 | -7.0% | No verdict on this run |
| OHI Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc. | $45.72 | $53.51 | +17.0% | No verdict on this run |
| DOC Healthpeak Properties, Inc. | $19.49 | $24.21 | +24.2% | Low evidence grade |
| SBRA Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. | $19.16 | $16.29 | -15.0% | No verdict on this run |
| LTC LTC Properties, Inc. | $43.00 | $43.30 | +0.7% | Low evidence grade |
| MPT Medical Properties Trust, Inc. | $3.27 | $4.39 | +34.3% | Low evidence grade |
| VTR Ventas, Inc. | $84.01 | $42.67 | -49.2% | No verdict on this run |
All healthcare facility reit stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does CTRE report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
CareTrust REIT's next earnings report is scheduled for 9 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How CTRE moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 2.3%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | +0.2% |
| 7 May 2026 | +5.4% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | +1.6% |
| 5 Nov 2025 | +0.5% |
| 6 Aug 2025 | -0.7% |
| 1 May 2025 | +11.9% |
| 12 Feb 2025 | +3.0% |
| 29 Oct 2024 | +4.8% |
CareTrust REIT at a glance
CareTrust REIT, Inc. operates as a self-managed, publicly traded real estate investment trust.
- Market value
- $8.8B
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Healthcare Facility REITs
- Beta to the US market
- -0.08
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model values CareTrust REIT three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for CTRE was $29.96. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $31.40, a change of +4.8%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about CareTrust REIT's valuation
Is CareTrust REIT stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts CTRE's fair value at $31.40 a share against a last close of $36.30, as of 26 Sep 2026. No verdict is shown for CTRE on this run. The fair value and its range are shown for reference.
What is CTRE's fair value?
$31.40 a share as of 26 Sep 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $28.73 to $34.80.
What price range does the model give CTRE?
$26.34 to $38.29 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does CareTrust REIT report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 9 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has CTRE moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 2.3%, ignoring direction. The largest was +11.9% around the report of 1 May 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for CTRE is high. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many valuation methods could be applied and whether they agree with each other, and how many comparable companies there are. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.