NYSE: IP · Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
International Paper (IP) fair value and price range
As of 1 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values International Paper (IP) at $33.13 a share. The stock last closed at $31.97, which puts the model's fair value 3.6% above the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. International Paper Company.
Faircurve Insights · 1 Oct 2026
International Paper Company is a leading global packaging enterprise. It was established in 1898 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
Faircurve's model on 1 Oct 2026 gave a fair value of $33.13 a share, which is the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This fair value moved -5.3% from the previous run on 26 Sep 2026, which was $34.99. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $28.53 to $39.00, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low.
The model compares International Paper Company with Louisiana-Pacific Corporation, UFP Industries, Inc., Boise Cascade Company, and Sylvamo Corp. Moves around the last 8 earnings reports, measured from the close before each report to the close after it, ranged from -13.5% on 31 Jul 2025 to +13.7% on 31 Oct 2024. The median size of these moves, ignoring direction, was 6.6%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 1 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give IP?
The calibrated range for IP over 63 trading days is $28.53 to $39.00. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that IP's own options imply (44% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 3,330 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $22.41 to $46.40. In 50% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does IP compare with similar companies?
The companies in paper, lumber & forest products closest to International Paper in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LPX Louisiana-Pacific Corporation | $65.10 | $62.92 | -3.3% | Fairly valued |
| UFPI UFP Industries, Inc. | $77.15 | $92.76 | +20.2% | Undervalued |
| BCC Boise Cascade Company | $74.99 | $75.24 | +0.3% | Fairly valued |
| SLVM Sylvamo Corp | $32.48 | $43.14 | +32.8% | Undervalued |
All paper, lumber & forest products stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does IP report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
International Paper's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 5.6% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. IP's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 12.7% over one month.
How IP moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 6.6%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | -4.2% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | -5.4% |
| 29 Jan 2026 | -2.8% |
| 30 Oct 2025 | -12.6% |
| 31 Jul 2025 | -13.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | -7.9% |
| 30 Jan 2025 | -4.1% |
| 31 Oct 2024 | +13.7% |
International Paper at a glance
International Paper Company, established in 1898 and headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, functions as a leading global packaging enterprise.
- Market value
- $18.5B
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $25.6B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -1.6%
- Analysts with estimates
- 7
- Beta to the US market
- 0.97
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices International Paper on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for IP was $34.99. As of 1 Oct 2026 it is $33.13, a change of -5.3%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about International Paper's valuation
Is International Paper stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts IP's fair value at $33.13 a share against a last close of $31.97, as of 1 Oct 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is IP's fair value?
$33.13 a share as of 1 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $22.41 to $46.40.
What price range does the model give IP?
$28.53 to $39.00 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 3,330 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does International Paper report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has IP moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 6.6%, ignoring direction. The largest was +13.7% around the report of 31 Oct 2024.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for IP is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.