NYSE: NXRT ยท Residential REITs
NexPoint Residential Trust (NXRT) fair value and price range
As of 27 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values NexPoint Residential Trust (NXRT) at $31.82 a share. The stock last closed at $18.67, which puts the model's fair value 70.4% above the price. The fair value sits more than 60% away from the price. Faircurve gives no verdict on a gap wider than 60%.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.
What price range does the model give NXRT?
The calibrated range for NXRT over 63 trading days is $26.70 to $38.80. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is below this range. For names with fair value 30%+ above price, the calibrated range has held the price 29% of the time over 63 trading days, and 71% ended below it; the typical move was +5.7%.
The model's own range is $29.23 to $35.34.
How does NXRT compare with similar companies?
The companies in residential reits closest to NexPoint Residential Trust in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSR Centerspace | $54.50 | $68.04 | +24.8% | No verdict on this run |
| IRT Independence Realty Trust, Inc. | $14.51 | $14.50 | -0.1% | No verdict on this run |
| MRP Millrose Properties, Inc. | $24.61 | $34.72 | +41.1% | Low evidence grade |
| CPT Camden Property Trust | $95.96 | $95.65 | -0.3% | No verdict on this run |
| UDR UDR, Inc. | $33.27 | $40.85 | +22.8% | No verdict on this run |
| AMH American Homes 4 Rent | $30.26 | $33.19 | +9.7% | No verdict on this run |
| ELS Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. | $58.25 | $42.53 | -27.0% | Low evidence grade |
| MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. | $115.22 | $121.16 | +5.2% | No verdict on this run |
When does NXRT report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
NexPoint Residential Trust's next earnings report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 18.8% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 48 days out, a window that includes the report. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
How NXRT moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 2.8%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | -4.4% |
| 28 Apr 2026 | +7.2% |
| 24 Feb 2026 | -2.1% |
| 28 Oct 2025 | -1.1% |
| 29 Jul 2025 | 0.0% |
| 29 Apr 2025 | -3.5% |
| 25 Feb 2025 | +4.0% |
| 29 Oct 2024 | -0.7% |
NexPoint Residential Trust at a glance
NexPoint Residential Trust (NXRT) is a Real Estate Investment Trust publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange, specializing in the acquisition, ownership, and operation of well-located apartment communities designed for middle-income residents.
- Market value
- $499M
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Residential REITs
- Beta to the US market
- 0.20
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model values NexPoint Residential Trust three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for NXRT was $32.09. As of 27 Sep 2026 it is $31.82, a change of -0.8%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about NexPoint Residential Trust's valuation
Is NexPoint Residential Trust stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts NXRT's fair value at $31.82 a share against a last close of $18.67, as of 27 Sep 2026. The fair value sits more than 60% away from the price. Faircurve gives no verdict on a gap wider than 60%.
What is NXRT's fair value?
$31.82 a share as of 27 Sep 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $29.23 to $35.34.
What price range does the model give NXRT?
$26.70 to $38.80 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does NexPoint Residential Trust report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has NXRT moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 2.8%, ignoring direction. The largest was +7.2% around the report of 28 Apr 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for NXRT is high. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.