NYSE: AROC · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Archrock (AROC) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Archrock (AROC) at $28.27 a share. The stock last closed at $30.33, which puts the model's fair value 6.8% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Archrock, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
Archrock, Inc., with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Contract Operations and Aftermarket Services.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $28.27 a share for Archrock, Inc. on 26 Sep 2026, which is the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run on 19 Sep 2026 gave $29.50, meaning the fair value moved -4.2%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $23.72 to $34.47, built from the fair value, and held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model's evidence grade is Medium.
The overall quality score is 33 out of 100 against comparable companies. The model compares Archrock, Inc. with Kodiak Gas Services, Inc., Weatherford International plc, Oceaneering International, Inc., Cactus, Inc., Tidewater Inc., NOV Inc., Liberty Energy Inc., and Innovex International, Inc. The stock moved a median of 2.9% around its last 8 earnings reports, ignoring direction.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give AROC?
The calibrated range for AROC over 63 trading days is $23.72 to $34.47. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $16.39 to $44.05. In 45% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does AROC score on business quality?
Archrock's overall quality score is 33 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 19 | 7.8%ROIC | 19.8% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 40 | 0.89xFCF / net income | 1.31x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 71 | 28.7%Revenue growth, trailing | 4.6% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 14 | 0.9%Net buybacks / market value | 1.7% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 22 | 2.92xNet debt / EBITDA | 0.73x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 14 | 4.5 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 2.2 pts |
How does AROC compare with similar companies?
The companies in oil & gas equipment & services closest to Archrock in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KGS Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. | $54.33 | $54.08 | -0.5% | Fairly valued |
| WFRD Weatherford International plc | $79.72 | $104.42 | +31.0% | Undervalued |
| OII Oceaneering International, Inc. | $44.32 | $41.77 | -5.8% | Fairly valued |
| WHD Cactus, Inc. | $63.44 | $63.89 | +0.7% | Fairly valued |
| TDW Tidewater Inc. | $82.42 | $83.54 | +1.4% | Fairly valued |
| NOV NOV Inc. | $18.80 | $18.98 | +1.0% | Fairly valued |
| LBRT Liberty Energy Inc. | $19.31 | $18.48 | -4.3% | Fairly valued |
| INVX Innovex International, Inc. | $27.31 | $24.78 | -9.3% | Fairly valued |
All oil & gas equipment & services stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does AROC report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Archrock's next earnings report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How AROC moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 2.9%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | -3.4% |
| 5 May 2026 | +0.6% |
| 24 Feb 2026 | +6.7% |
| 28 Oct 2025 | -2.5% |
| 4 Aug 2025 | -2.1% |
| 5 May 2025 | +6.3% |
| 24 Feb 2025 | 0.0% |
| 11 Nov 2024 | +7.1% |
Archrock at a glance
Archrock, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy infrastructure company in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Contract Operations and Aftermarket Services.
- Market value
- $5.3B
- Sector
- Energy
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $1.6B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +1.9%
- Analysts with estimates
- 3
- Beta to the US market
- 0.61
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Archrock on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for AROC was $29.50. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $28.27, a change of -4.2%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Archrock's valuation
Is Archrock stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, AROC reads as Fairly valued as of 26 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $28.27 a share against a last close of $30.33, a gap of -6.8%.
What is AROC's fair value?
$28.27 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $16.39 to $44.05.
What price range does the model give AROC?
$23.72 to $34.47 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Archrock report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has AROC moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 2.9%, ignoring direction. The largest was +7.1% around the report of 11 Nov 2024.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for AROC is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.