NYSE: CE · Chemicals
Celanese (CE) fair value and price range
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Celanese (CE) at $45.39 a share. The stock last closed at $50.36, which puts the model's fair value 9.9% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 3 Nov 2026. Celanese Corporation.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 held the fair value at $45.39, within 1% of the run of 24 Oct 2026.
What the model makes of itThe price of $50.36 is 9.9% above it. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What's nextReports on 5 Nov 2026. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give CE?
The calibrated range for CE over 63 trading days is $36.77 to $54.22. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $0.00 to $129.91. In 48% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
Celanese Corporation produces and sells engineered polymers worldwide. It operates through Engineered Materials and Acetyl Chain segments.
Faircurve's model put the fair value of Celanese Corporation (CE) at $45.39 a share on 31 Oct 2026. The fair value is the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run gave $45.35, so the fair value moved +0.1%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $36.77 to $54.22. There is no live options data for the stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices, using 10,454 past valuations. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown.
The model's overall quality score for Celanese is 33 out of 100, a score against comparable companies. Earnings quality scores 100. Profitability scores 0, with ROIC at -4.4% against a peer median of 11.4%. The balance sheet also scores 0, with Net debt / EBITDA at 28.47x against a peer median of 2.35x. Growth quality scores 26, with trailing revenue growth at -7.2% against a peer median of -4.7%. The model compares Celanese with DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) and REX American Resources Corporation (REX), each with a fair value of its own on the site. Olin Corporation (OLN) and Dow Inc. (DOW) are also compared, with no verdict on this date.
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does CE report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Celanese's next earnings report is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across CE's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 10.7%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in CE
How does CE score on business quality?
Celanese's overall quality score is 33 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 0 | -4.4%ROIC | 11.4% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 100 | ||
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 26 | -7.2%Revenue growth, trailing | -4.7% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 64 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 1.8% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 0 | 28.47xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.35x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 10 | 8.5 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.9 pts |
How does CE compare with similar companies?
The companies in chemicals closest to Celanese in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLN Olin Corporation | $17.53 | $15.33 | -12.5% | Low evidence grade |
| DD DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | $153.46 | $152.86 | -0.4% | Fairly valued |
| REX REX American Resources Corporation | $39.34 | $36.79 | -6.5% | Fairly valued |
| DOW Dow Inc. | $33.79 | $34.97 | +3.5% | Low evidence grade |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for CE, the peer-implied price, is $18.85 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
Celanese at a glance
Celanese Corporation produces and sells engineered polymers worldwide. It operates through Engineered Materials and Acetyl Chain segments.
- Market value
- $5.4B
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Chemicals
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $10.0B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +5.2%
- Analysts with estimates
- 10
- Beta to the US market
- 0.44
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Celanese on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for CE was $45.35. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $45.39, a change of +0.1%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Celanese's valuation
Is Celanese stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts CE's fair value at $45.39 a share against a last close of $50.36, as of 31 Oct 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is CE's fair value?
$45.39 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $0.00 to $129.91.
What price range does the model give CE?
$36.77 to $54.22 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Celanese report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has CE moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 10.7%, ignoring direction. The largest was -27.1% around the report of 4 Nov 2024.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for CE is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on CE
The model holds no idea open on CE today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on CE with their outcomes. A free account is enough.