NYSE: DD · Chemicals
DuPont de Nemours (DD) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values DuPont de Nemours (DD) at $138.57 a share. The stock last closed at $129.98, which puts the model's fair value 6.6% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. DuPont de Nemours, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
DuPont de Nemours, Inc. is a global provider of advanced materials and innovative solutions. It serves markets across North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $138.57 a share for DuPont de Nemours, Inc. on 26 Sep 2026, which is the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run on 19 Sep 2026 gave $135.92, so the fair value moved +1.9%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $116.26 to $168.96, built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is Medium.
The overall quality score for the business is 50 out of 100 against comparable companies. Quality factors include Profitability at 15, Earnings quality at 99, Growth quality at 28, Capital discipline at 99, Balance sheet at 69, and Stability at 33. The model compares DuPont de Nemours, Inc. with REX American Resources Corporation (REX), which has a fair value of its own on the site. Moves around the last 8 earnings reports show results like +4.3% on 4 Aug 2026 and +10.3% on 5 May 2026. The median size of these moves, ignoring direction, is 3.7%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give DD?
The calibrated range for DD over 63 trading days is $116.26 to $168.96. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $93.55 to $199.99. In 54% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does DD score on business quality?
DuPont de Nemours's overall quality score is 50 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 15 | 6.1%ROIC | 12.1% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 99 | 20.51xFCF / net income | 0.82x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 28 | -44.7%Revenue growth, trailing | 1.6% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 99 | 4.4%Net buybacks / market value | 1.0% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 69 | 1.04xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.33x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 33 | 2.5 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.3 pts |
How does DD compare with similar companies?
The companies in chemicals closest to DuPont de Nemours in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOW Dow Inc. | $27.97 | $26.87 | -3.9% | Low evidence grade |
| CE Celanese Corporation | $44.19 | $45.53 | +3.0% | Low evidence grade |
| OLN Olin Corporation | $15.90 | $13.69 | -13.9% | Low evidence grade |
| REX REX American Resources Corporation | $43.37 | $44.69 | +3.0% | Fairly valued |
When does DD report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
DuPont de Nemours's next earnings report is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 9.2% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 48 days out, a window that includes the report. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
How DD moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 3.7%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | +4.3% |
| 5 May 2026 | +10.3% |
| 10 Feb 2026 | +9.4% |
| 6 Nov 2025 | +0.4% |
| 5 Aug 2025 | -0.2% |
| 2 May 2025 | -1.1% |
| 11 Feb 2025 | +7.2% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | +3.0% |
DuPont de Nemours at a glance
DuPont de Nemours, Inc. is a global provider of advanced materials and innovative solutions, serving markets across North America, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region.
- Market value
- $17.8B
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Chemicals
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $7.4B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +4.6%
- Analysts with estimates
- 8
- Beta to the US market
- 0.25
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices DuPont de Nemours on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for DD was $135.92. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $138.57, a change of +1.9%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about DuPont de Nemours's valuation
Is DuPont de Nemours stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, DD reads as Fairly valued as of 26 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $138.57 a share against a last close of $129.98, a gap of +6.6%.
What is DD's fair value?
$138.57 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $93.55 to $199.99.
What price range does the model give DD?
$116.26 to $168.96 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does DuPont de Nemours report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has DD moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 3.7%, ignoring direction. The largest was +10.3% around the report of 5 May 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for DD is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.