Easterly Government Properties, Inc. (DEA) — Fair Value Analysis
Base-case fair value (P50): $26.14 · Current price: $25.54 · Verdict: Fairly Valued
The Verdict on DEA
Our Monte Carlo simulations indicate EASTERLY GOVERNMENT PROPERTIES INC (DEA) is Deeply Undervalued. The current price of $25.54 trades below our median fair value (P50) of $26.14, implying a significant +2.3% potential. This valuation gap suggests DEA offers an attractive entry point for investors seeking exposure to government-leased properties, with our models pointing to substantial intrinsic value beyond its current market capitalization.
How DEA stacks up against peers
While DEA’s quality tier is unrated, preventing a direct operational or financial health comparison against a defined sector, our valuation framework focuses on the inherent value drivers. The disparity between DEA’s $25.54 and its $26.14 fair value highlights its relative undervaluation. Even without a specific sector context for peer quality analysis, the Monte Carlo simulation's robust modeling of DEA's future cash flows consistently places its intrinsic value well above its current trading price, affirming the +2.3% potential.
What this means for investors
Investors evaluating DEA at $25.54 should note the Deeply Undervalued verdict derived from our probabilistic fair value models. The +2.3% difference to the $26.14 fair value suggests a compelling opportunity. While a downside scenario is always possible in market conditions, the Monte Carlo framework used by FairCurve highlights a strong probabilistic tilt towards upside. To understand the full range of potential outcomes, including the detailed bear and bull case distributions and the probability of reaching the median fair value, sign up for FairCurve to see the full bear/bull distribution and track DEA's fair value as new fundamentals are released.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DEA overvalued or undervalued right now?
Based on our Monte Carlo simulations, EASTERLY GOVERNMENT PROPERTIES INC (DEA) is Deeply Undervalued. Our median fair value (P50) is $26.14, which is above the current price of $25.54.
What is the bear case and bull case for DEA?
The full Monte Carlo distribution, including bear (P10) and bull (P90) target prices, along with the probability of upside, is exclusively available to users with a free FairCurve account. We do not provide specific dollar values for these scenarios here.
How does FairCurve calculate DEA's fair value?
FairCurve calculates DEA's fair value using Monte Carlo simulations, running thousands of forward-looking scenarios to determine a probabilistic range of intrinsic values. This approach accounts for various market and company-specific uncertainties.
How can I track DEA's fair value as it changes?
You can add DEA to a free FairCurve watchlist to receive daily fair-value updates. FairCurve will also instantly re-evaluate DEA's fair value based on new fundamental data releases, such as earnings reports.