NYSE: EGP · Industrial REITs
EastGroup Properties (EGP) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values EastGroup Properties (EGP) at $147.94 a share. The stock last closed at $200.22, which puts the model's fair value 26.1% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Overvalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 3 Nov 2026. EastGroup Properties, Inc.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices and the next earnings date. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 held the fair value at $147.94, within 1% of the run of 24 Oct 2026.
What the model makes of itThe price of $200.22 is 26.1% above it: Overvalued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 3 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 8% either way over the next month. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give EGP?
The calibrated range for EGP over 63 trading days is $184.90 to $220.78. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that EGP's own options imply (27% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own range is $135.19 to $164.11.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
EastGroup Properties, Inc. (NYSE: EGP) is a self-administered equity real estate investment trust. It specializes in the development, acquisition, and management of industrial properties.
Faircurve's model gave a fair value of $147.94 a share on 31 Oct 2026. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $148.30, so the fair value moved -0.2%. The fair value blends a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model and the value of the properties. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $184.90 to $220.78. It is built from the volatility the stock's own options imply and calibrated weekly against 6,661 past valuations. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence High. For REITs, the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. The grade does not say whether the fair value is right.
The model compares EastGroup with ten companies, each with a fair value of its own on the site: CubeSmart (CUBE), Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. (REXR), First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. (FR), Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO), STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG), LXP Industrial Trust (LXP), Extra Space Storage Inc. (EXR), and Public Storage (PSA). Faircurve first valued EastGroup on 11 Jul 2026. This note has no quality scores for the business, so it does not report how EastGroup ranks on quality against these companies.
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does EGP report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
EastGroup Properties's next earnings report is scheduled for 3 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 3 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 7.4% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 44 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. EGP's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 7.7% over one month.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across EGP's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 1.7%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in EGP
How does EGP compare with similar companies?
The companies in industrial reits closest to EastGroup Properties in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CUBE CubeSmart | $44.26 | $47.20 | +6.6% | Fairly valued |
| REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. | $38.28 | $42.81 | +11.8% | Undervalued |
| FR First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. | $54.90 | $54.27 | -1.1% | Fairly valued |
| TRNO Terreno Realty Corporation | $66.66 | $60.00 | -10.0% | Overvalued |
| STAG STAG Industrial, Inc. | $37.38 | $34.66 | -7.3% | Overvalued |
| LXP LXP Industrial Trust | $61.18 | $63.44 | +3.7% | Fairly valued |
| EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. | $156.23 | $138.48 | -11.4% | Overvalued |
| PSA Public Storage | $333.39 | $300.25 | -9.9% | Overvalued |
EastGroup Properties at a glance
EastGroup Properties, Inc. (NYSE: EGP), a self-administered equity real estate investment trust and an S&P MidCap 400 company, specializes in the development, acquisition, and management of industrial properties.
- Market value
- $10.7B
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Industrial REITs
- Beta to the US market
- 0.13
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 3 Nov 2026, 52.1% of the 1,081 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. EGP was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model values EastGroup Properties three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for EGP was $148.30. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $147.94, a change of -0.2%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about EastGroup Properties's valuation
Is EastGroup Properties stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, EGP reads as Overvalued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $147.94 a share against a last close of $200.22, a gap of -26.1%.
What is EGP's fair value?
$147.94 a share as of 31 Oct 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $135.19 to $164.11.
What price range does the model give EGP?
$184.90 to $220.78 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does EastGroup Properties report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 3 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has EGP moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 1.7%, ignoring direction. The largest was +4.6% around the report of 4 Feb 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for EGP is high. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on EGP
The model holds no idea open on EGP today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on EGP with their outcomes. A free account is enough.