NYSE: FMC ยท Agricultural Inputs
FMC (FMC) fair value and price range
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values FMC (FMC) at $11.34 a share. The stock last closed at $6.09, which puts the model's fair value 86.2% above the price. The inputs behind this valuation are under review, so no verdict is shown.
- The latest balance sheet shows far less debt than the quarter before, with no matching repayment.
Revalued . Price is the close of 3 Nov 2026. FMC Corporation.
The report adds the live price, the price chart, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $7.50 to $11.34 (+51.2%). Net debt fell on the latest balance sheet: most of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $6.09 is 86.2% below it. The inputs behind this valuation are under review, so no verdict is shown.
What's nextNext report on 3 Feb 2027. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give FMC?
The calibrated range for FMC over 63 trading days is $9.19 to $13.55. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is below this range. For names with fair value 30%+ above price, the calibrated range has held the price 23% of the time over 63 trading days, and 76% ended below it; the typical move was +0.7%.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $10.61 to $12.05. In 100% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
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When does FMC report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
FMC's next earnings report is scheduled for 3 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Around its last 4 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across FMC's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 11.5%.
Earlier reports are left out: the options record is on a different share basis.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in FMC
How does FMC score on business quality?
FMC's overall quality score is 66 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 100 | 494.9%ROIC | -0.1% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 100 | ||
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 12 | -18.3%Revenue growth, trailing | 0.4% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 72 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 0.0% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 50 | 0.83xNet debt / EBITDA | 11.33x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 16 | 8.0 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 3.9 pts |
How does FMC compare with similar companies?
The companies in agricultural inputs closest to FMC in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMG The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company | $61.80 | $58.15 | -5.9% | Low evidence grade |
| MOS The Mosaic Company | $18.42 | $21.15 | +14.8% | Data under review |
| CTVA Corteva, Inc. | $11.88 | $11.65 | -1.9% | Data under review |
| CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | $116.81 | $124.27 | +6.4% | Low evidence grade |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for FMC, the peer-implied price, is $72.00 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
FMC at a glance
FMC Corporation functions as an agricultural science enterprise, delivering products for crop safeguarding, plant wellness, and professional pest and turf management.
- Market value
- $776M
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Agricultural Inputs
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $3.5B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -11.2%
- Analysts with estimates
- 6
- Beta to the US market
- 0.97
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices FMC on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for FMC was $7.50. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $11.34, a change of +51.2%. Net debt fell on the latest balance sheet: most of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about FMC's valuation
Is FMC stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts FMC's fair value at $11.34 a share against a last close of $6.09, as of 31 Oct 2026. The inputs behind this valuation are under review, so no verdict is shown.
What is FMC's fair value?
$11.34 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $10.61 to $12.05.
What price range does the model give FMC?
$9.19 to $13.55 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does FMC report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 3 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has FMC moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 11.5%, ignoring direction. The largest was -49.1% around the report of 29 Oct 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for FMC is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.