NYSE: FTV · Hardware, Equipment & Parts

Fortive (FTV) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?

As of 1 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Fortive (FTV) at $49.53 a share. The stock last closed at $57.47, which puts the model's fair value 13.8% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.

Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Fortive Corporation.

Model fair value$49.53midpoint of 2,000 simulations
Last close$57.47NYSE: FTV
Gap to fair value-13.8%fair value against price
Model verdictFairly valuedevidence grade: Medium

Faircurve Insights · 1 Oct 2026

Fortive Corporation is a global industrial technology company that specializes in the conception, development, manufacturing, marketing, and servicing of sophisticated professional and engineered products, as well as software platforms and associated.

On 1 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model gave a fair value of $49.53 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This fair value moved -2.3% since the previous run, on 26 Sep 2026, which gave $50.69. The calibrated range over 63 trading days, built from the fair value, is $41.55 to $60.39, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is Medium.

The overall quality score is 45 out of 100 against comparable companies. The model compares it with MKS Inc., Fabrinet, Trimble Inc., TTM Technologies, Inc., Vicor Corporation, Sanmina Corporation, Advanced Energy Industries, Inc., and Littelfuse, Inc. The stock moved 29 Jul 2026 -8.8%, 30 Apr 2026 -4.4%, 4 Feb 2026 +10.8%, 29 Oct 2025 +4.3%, 30 Jul 2025 -5.9%, 1 May 2025 -3.1%, 7 Feb 2025 +0.8%, and 30 Oct 2024 -4.3% around its last 8 earnings reports.

Written from the figures on this page for the 1 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.

What price range does the model give FTV?

The calibrated range for FTV over 63 trading days is $41.55 to $60.39. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.

The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $35.65 to $66.62. In 39% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.

$23.84$96.16
Spread of the 2,000 simulated fair values. Solid line: the midpoint, $49.53. Dashed line: the last close, $57.47.

How does FTV score on business quality?

Fortive's overall quality score is 45 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.

FactorScore (0 to 100)Headline measurePeer median
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend.197.7%ROIC20.7%
Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash).891.79xFCF / net income1.26x
Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions.10-17.5%Revenue growth, trailing11.8%
Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks.757.9%Net buybacks / market value3.9%
Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage.352.92xNet debt / EBITDA0.95x
StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years.821.1 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y2.0 pts

How does FTV compare with similar companies?

The companies in hardware, equipment & parts closest to Fortive in market value, each on the same model and the same date.

CompanyLast closeModel fair valueGapModel verdict
MKSI MKS Inc.$279.15$334.18+19.7%Undervalued
FN Fabrinet$463.69$431.48-6.9%Fairly valued
TRMB Trimble Inc.$57.52$60.40+5.0%Fairly valued
TTMI TTM Technologies, Inc.$131.87$130.07-1.4%Fairly valued
VICR Vicor Corporation$308.90$260.21-15.8%Overvalued
SANM Sanmina Corporation$229.04$258.36+12.8%Fairly valued
AEIS Advanced Energy Industries, Inc.$304.28$299.09-1.7%Fairly valued
LFUS Littelfuse, Inc.$456.53$462.77+1.4%Fairly valued

All hardware, equipment & parts stocks ranked by gap to fair value

When does FTV report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?

Fortive's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.

How FTV moved around its last 8 earnings reports

Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.3%.

Report dateTwo session move
29 Jul 2026-8.8%
30 Apr 2026-4.4%
4 Feb 2026+10.8%
29 Oct 2025+4.3%
30 Jul 2025-5.9%
1 May 2025-3.1%
7 Feb 2025+0.8%
30 Oct 2024-4.3%

Fortive at a glance

Fortive Corporation is a global industrial technology company that specializes in the conception, development, manufacturing, marketing, and servicing of sophisticated professional and engineered products, as well as software platforms and associated.

Market value
$16.9B
Sector
Technology
Industry
Hardware, Equipment & Parts
Revenue expected, next twelve months
$4.5B
Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
-15.1%
Analysts with estimates
9
Beta to the US market
0.58
First valued by Faircurve
1 May 2026

How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Fortive on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.

What changed in the latest valuation?

On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for FTV was $50.69. As of 1 Oct 2026 it is $49.53, a change of -2.3%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.

Questions about Fortive's valuation

Is Fortive stock undervalued or overvalued?

On Faircurve's model, FTV reads as Fairly valued as of 1 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $49.53 a share against a last close of $57.47, a gap of -13.8%.

What is FTV's fair value?

$49.53 a share as of 1 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $35.65 to $66.62.

What price range does the model give FTV?

$41.55 to $60.39 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.

When does Fortive report earnings next?

The next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.

How much has FTV moved on past earnings reports?

Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.3%, ignoring direction. The largest was +10.8% around the report of 4 Feb 2026.

How confident is the model in this valuation?

The model's evidence grade for FTV is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.

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