NYSE: IDA · Regulated Electric
IDACORP (IDA) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values IDACORP (IDA) at $131.61 a share. The stock last closed at $147.17, which puts the model's fair value 10.6% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. IDACORP, Inc.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $121.57 to $131.61 (+8.3%). The model's quality adjustment to the peer multiple moved, lifting the fair value: part of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $147.17 is 10.6% above it: Fairly valued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 18 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 6% either way over the next month. On the model's Earnings Momentum list since 2 Nov 2026 (a strategy with a proving record). The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give IDA?
The calibrated range for IDA over 63 trading days is $138.54 to $158.52. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that IDA's own options imply (20% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $100.99 to $165.18. In 35% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
IDACORP, Inc. (IDA) operates in the U.S. electric power sector, from generation, transmission and distribution to the purchase and retail sale of electricity.
Faircurve's model put the fair value at $131.61 a share on 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $121.57, so the fair value moved +8.3%. The model gives the reason in its own words: "The model's quality adjustment to the peer multiple moved, lifting the fair value: part of the move." The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $139.10 to $158.47, built around the price from the volatility the stock's own options imply. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is High. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
The model scores the business 47 out of 100 on quality against comparable companies. Earnings quality is 5, with FCF / net income of -3.07x against a peer median of -0.69x. Stability is 75, with five-year EBITDA margin downside volatility of 1.6 pts against a peer median of 1.9 pts. The comparable companies are OGE Energy Corp. (OGE), Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW), Portland General Electric Company (POR), Northwestern Energy Group Inc (NWE), Alliant Energy Corporation (LNT), Evergy, Inc. (EVRG) and CMS Energy Corporation (CMS).
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does IDA report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
IDACORP's next earnings report is scheduled for 18 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 5 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 4.6% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 14 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. IDA's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 5.9% over one month.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across IDA's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 1.9%.
How does IDA score on business quality?
IDACORP's overall quality score is 47 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 55 | 5.2%ROIC | 5.2% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 5 | -3.07xFCF / net income | -0.69x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 52 | -0.7%Revenue growth, trailing | 9.2% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 46 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 0.0% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 69 | 4.44xNet debt / EBITDA | 5.43x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 75 | 1.6 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.9 pts |
How does IDA compare with similar companies?
The companies in regulated electric closest to IDACORP in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGE OGE Energy Corp. | $50.82 | $54.96 | +8.1% | Fairly valued |
| PNW Pinnacle West Capital Corporation | $103.83 | $111.18 | +7.1% | Fairly valued |
| POR Portland General Electric Company | $46.01 | $62.41 | +35.6% | Undervalued |
| NWE Northwestern Energy Group Inc | $82.02 | $74.06 | -9.7% | Fairly valued |
| LNT Alliant Energy Corporation | $73.44 | $61.89 | -15.7% | Overvalued |
| EVRG Evergy, Inc. | $87.41 | $81.68 | -6.6% | Fairly valued |
| CMS CMS Energy Corporation | $70.68 | $64.16 | -9.2% | Fairly valued |
| EIX Edison International | $60.88 | $75.68 | +24.3% | Low evidence grade |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for IDA, the peer-implied price, is $109.92 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
IDACORP at a glance
IDACORP, Inc. operates as a U.S.-based enterprise deeply involved in the comprehensive electric power sector, handling everything from generation, transmission, and distribution to the purchase and retail sale of electricity.
- Market value
- $8.4B
- Sector
- Utilities
- Industry
- Regulated Electric
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $2.2B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +11.4%
- Analysts with estimates
- 6
- Beta to the US market
- -0.19
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 56.0% of the 1,065 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. IDA was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices IDACORP on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for IDA was $121.57. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $131.61, a change of +8.3%. The model's quality adjustment to the peer multiple moved, lifting the fair value: part of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about IDACORP's valuation
Is IDACORP stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, IDA reads as Fairly valued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $131.61 a share against a last close of $147.17, a gap of -10.6%.
What is IDA's fair value?
$131.61 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $100.99 to $165.18.
What price range does the model give IDA?
$138.54 to $158.52 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does IDACORP report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 18 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has IDA moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 1.9%, ignoring direction. The largest was +4.0% around the report of 29 Oct 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for IDA is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on IDA
The model has an idea open on IDA under Earnings Momentum since 2 Nov 2026, a strategy with a proving record. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on IDA with their outcomes. A free account is enough.