Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) — Fair Value Analysis
Base-case fair value (P50): $73.05 · Current price: $80.59 · Verdict: Fairly Valued
The Verdict on IR
Based on our comprehensive Monte Carlo simulations, Ingersoll Rand (IR) is currently deemed Fairly Valued. While the median fair value (P50) for the Industrials sector stock is $73.05, IR's current price of $80.59 places it very close to this intrinsic value. This translates to an -9.4% gap, indicating the market's current valuation aligns closely with our probabilistic assessment of its true worth.
How IR stacks up against Industrials
Ingersoll Rand exhibits an average quality tier when benchmarked against its Industrials sector peers. This assessment considers its operational and financial health relative to the sector, influencing the inputs of our fair value model. An average quality tier suggests that while IR possesses solid fundamentals, it doesn't present a significant competitive edge or disadvantage that would dramatically skew its fair value in either direction, further supporting the Fairly Valued verdict at $80.59 versus $73.05.
What this means for investors
Investors looking at Ingersoll Rand should note that its current price of $80.59 is consistent with our median fair value estimate of $73.05, reflecting an -9.4% differential. This implies that the stock isn't presenting a clear deep-value opportunity or significant overvaluation based purely on its intrinsic value. To fully understand the range of possible outcomes, including bear and bull case scenarios and the probability distribution around the median, sign up for FairCurve to see the full Monte Carlo distribution and track IR's fair value as new fundamentals are released.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IR overvalued or undervalued right now?
Based on our Monte Carlo simulations, Ingersoll Rand (IR) is Fairly Valued. While the median fair value (P50) stands at $73.05, its current trading price of $80.59 suggests it is close to its intrinsic value.
What is the bear case and bull case for IR?
Our comprehensive Monte Carlo simulations generate a full distribution of potential fair values for IR, covering bear (P10) and bull (P90) case targets. Access to these specific price targets and the probability of upside is exclusively available to users with a free FairCurve account.
How does FairCurve calculate IR's fair value?
FairCurve utilizes advanced Monte Carlo simulations to assess IR's fair value, projecting thousands of forward-looking scenarios based on various financial and operational assumptions. This robust statistical method provides a probabilistic view of intrinsic value.
How can I track IR's fair value as it changes?
Add IR to your free FairCurve watchlist to receive daily updates on its fair value. Our system instantly re-evaluates and updates IR's intrinsic value whenever new fundamental data, such as earnings reports, is released.