NYSE: KD · Information Technology Services
Kyndryl Holdings (KD) fair value and price range
As of 7 Nov 2026, Faircurve's model values Kyndryl Holdings (KD) at $20.97 a share. The stock last closed at $16.29, which puts the model's fair value 28.7% above the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 6 Nov 2026. Kyndryl Holdings, Inc.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 7 Nov 2026 moved the fair value from $17.86 to $20.97 (+17.4%). The multiple the model anchors on moved, lifting the fair value: most of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $16.29 is 28.7% below it. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What's nextNext report on 8 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 19% either way over the next month. The next weekly run is on Saturday 14 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give KD?
The calibrated range for KD over 63 trading days is $13.28 to $20.45. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that KD's own options imply (64% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 7,355 past valuations, refreshed 7 Nov 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $6.95 to $42.88. In 59% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 7 Nov 2026
Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. functions as a global technology and IT infrastructure services specialist.
Faircurve's model puts the fair value at $20.97 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations, on 7 Nov 2026. The previous run gave $17.86, so the fair value moved +17.4%. The multiple the model anchors on moved, lifting the fair value: most of the move. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $13.28 to $20.45, built around the price from the volatility the stock's own options imply. Calibrated weekly against 7,355 past valuations, ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low. The grade looks at input completeness, comparable companies and the width of the range of outcomes. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
Kyndryl's overall quality score is 48 out of 100, a composite of six factors scored against comparable companies. Capital discipline stands out at 81, with net buybacks at 7.4% of market value against a peer median of 5.0%. Growth quality is 29, with trailing revenue growth of 0.2% against a peer median of 6.6%. Stability is 31, with five-year EBITDA margin downside volatility of 4.7 pts against a peer median of 0.9 pts. The model compares it with Insight Enterprises, Inc. (NSIT), Parsons Corporation (PSN), Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC), ExlService Holdings, Inc. (EXLS), Genpact Limited (G) and EPAM Systems, Inc. (EPAM).
Written from the figures on this page for the 7 Nov 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does KD report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Kyndryl Holdings's next earnings report is scheduled for 8 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 6 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 11.2% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. KD's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 18.6% over one month.
On 4 Nov 2026 KD moved 30.1% in one session, against the 4.6% a day that options had priced: 6.6 times the implied size, around an earnings report.
Around its last 5 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across KD's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 17.2%.
Earlier reports are left out: the options record is on a different share basis.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in KD
How does KD score on business quality?
Kyndryl Holdings's overall quality score is 48 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 63 | 13.3%ROIC | 16.6% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 39 | 0.27xFCF / net income | |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 29 | 0.2%Revenue growth, trailing | 6.6% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 81 | 7.4%Net buybacks / market value | 5.0% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 46 | 1.52xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.04x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 31 | 4.7 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 0.9 pts |
How does KD compare with similar companies?
The companies in information technology services closest to Kyndryl Holdings in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSIT Insight Enterprises, Inc. | $158.25 | $142.38 | -10.0% | Fairly valued |
| PSN Parsons Corporation | $48.90 | $58.33 | +19.3% | Undervalued |
| DXC DXC Technology Company | $14.86 | $23.15 | +55.8% | Low evidence grade |
| SAIC Science Applications International Corporation | $146.30 | $143.90 | -1.6% | Fairly valued |
| EXLS ExlService Holdings, Inc. | $43.15 | $37.57 | -12.9% | Fairly valued |
| CNXC Concentrix Corporation | $30.32 | $62.48 | +106.1% | Gap wider than 60% |
| G Genpact Limited | $42.27 | $45.39 | +7.4% | Fairly valued |
| EPAM EPAM Systems, Inc. | $159.31 | $136.04 | -14.6% | Overvalued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for KD, the peer-implied price, is $101.71 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
All information technology services stocks ranked by gap to fair value
Kyndryl Holdings at a glance
Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. functions as a global technology and IT infrastructure services specialist.
- Market value
- $3.5B
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Information Technology Services
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $14.8B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -2.0%
- Analysts with estimates
- 3
- Beta to the US market
- 0.78
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Kyndryl Holdings on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 31 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for KD was $17.86. As of 7 Nov 2026 it is $20.97, a change of +17.4%. The multiple the model anchors on moved, lifting the fair value: most of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Kyndryl Holdings's valuation
Is Kyndryl Holdings stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts KD's fair value at $20.97 a share against a last close of $16.29, as of 7 Nov 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is KD's fair value?
$20.97 a share as of 7 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $6.95 to $42.88.
What price range does the model give KD?
$13.28 to $20.45 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 7,355 past valuations, refreshed 7 Nov 2026.
When does Kyndryl Holdings report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 8 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has KD moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 17.2%, ignoring direction. The largest was -52.7% around the report of 9 Feb 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for KD is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on KD
The model holds no idea open on KD today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on KD with their outcomes. A free account is enough.