NASDAQ: SAIC · Information Technology Services
Science Applications International (SAIC) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Science Applications International (SAIC) at $150.11 a share. The stock last closed at $146.86, which puts the model's fair value 2.2% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. Science Applications International Corporation.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $143.71 to $150.11 (+4.5%). The stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $146.86 is 2.2% below it: Fairly valued, on a medium evidence grade.
What's nextReports on 3 Dec 2026. Options prices imply a move of about 16% either way over the next month. On the model's Quality Momentum list since 28 Oct 2026 (a strategy with a proving record). The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give SAIC?
The calibrated range for SAIC over 63 trading days is $124.68 to $179.59. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that SAIC's own options imply (55% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $101.08 to $210.51. In 49% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) is a U.S.-based firm. It provides a wide array of advanced technical, engineering, and comprehensive information technology (IT) solutions.
Faircurve's model put the fair value at $150.11 a share on 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $143.71, so the fair value moved +4.5%. The model gives the reason as: the stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part, which is most of the move. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $124.68 to $179.59. Ranges built this way held 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence Medium. The grade covers input completeness, comparable companies and the spread of outcomes. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
The model gives the business an overall quality score of 64 out of 100. Capital discipline is the strongest factor at 100, with net buybacks at 7.5% of market value against a peer median of 1.2%. Earnings quality scores 85, with free cash flow to net income at 1.63x against a peer median of 1.58x. The balance sheet scores 29, with net debt to EBITDA at 3.44x against a peer median of 1.82x. The comparable companies are ExlService Holdings (EXLS), Genpact (G), EPAM Systems (EPAM), Parsons (PSN), Insight Enterprises (NSIT), Jack Henry & Associates (JKHY) and Gartner (IT).
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does SAIC report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Science Applications International's next earnings report is scheduled for 3 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 5 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 8.4% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 14 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. SAIC's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 15.9% over one month.
How SAIC moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 6.4%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | +0.7% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | +8.8% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | +2.9% |
| 4 Dec 2025 | +14.9% |
| 4 Sep 2025 | -8.0% |
| 17 Mar 2025 | +8.6% |
| 5 Dec 2024 | -4.7% |
| 5 Sep 2024 | +3.0% |
How does SAIC score on business quality?
Science Applications International's overall quality score is 64 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 67 | 12.0%ROIC | 8.2% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 85 | 1.63xFCF / net income | 1.58x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 30 | -2.9%Revenue growth, trailing | 3.1% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 100 | 7.5%Net buybacks / market value | 1.2% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 29 | 3.44xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.82x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 83 | 0.6 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 0.4 pts |
How does SAIC compare with similar companies?
The companies in information technology services closest to Science Applications International in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXLS ExlService Holdings, Inc. | $43.61 | $33.89 | -22.3% | Overvalued |
| G Genpact Limited | $41.10 | $43.47 | +5.8% | Fairly valued |
| EPAM EPAM Systems, Inc. | $165.70 | $142.32 | -14.1% | Overvalued |
| PSN Parsons Corporation | $50.34 | $61.63 | +22.4% | Undervalued |
| NSIT Insight Enterprises, Inc. | $152.72 | $156.33 | +2.4% | Fairly valued |
| JKHY Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. | $180.26 | $148.08 | -17.9% | Overvalued |
| KD Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. | $16.18 | $17.86 | +10.4% | Low evidence grade |
| IT Gartner, Inc. | $198.07 | $195.17 | -1.5% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for SAIC, the peer-implied price, is $149.79 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
All information technology services stocks ranked by gap to fair value
Science Applications International at a glance
Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC), a U.S.-based firm, specializes in providing a wide array of advanced technical, engineering, and comprehensive information technology (IT) solutions.
- Market value
- $6.4B
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Information Technology Services
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $7.4B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +0.6%
- Analysts with estimates
- 7
- Beta to the US market
- 0.03
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 55.1% of the 1,061 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. SAIC was among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Science Applications International on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for SAIC was $143.71. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $150.11, a change of +4.5%. The stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Science Applications International's valuation
Is Science Applications International stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, SAIC reads as Fairly valued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $150.11 a share against a last close of $146.86, a gap of +2.2%.
What is SAIC's fair value?
$150.11 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $101.08 to $210.51.
What price range does the model give SAIC?
$124.68 to $179.59 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Science Applications International report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 3 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has SAIC moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 6.4%, ignoring direction. The largest was +14.9% around the report of 4 Dec 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for SAIC is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on SAIC
The model has an idea open on SAIC under Quality Momentum since 28 Oct 2026, a strategy with a proving record. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on SAIC with their outcomes. A free account is enough.