L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) — Fair Value Analysis

Base-case fair value (P50): $288.70 · Current price: $302.07 · Verdict: Fairly Valued

The Verdict on LHX

L3Harris (LHX) is currently assessed as Fairly Valued, according to our comprehensive Monte Carlo simulations. Trading at $302.07, the stock sits closely to our median fair value (P50) estimate of $288.70. This indicates a projected -4.4% from the current trading price to its P50 fair value, suggesting that the market broadly reflects LHX's intrinsic value at present. Despite some potential for upside, the valuation doesn't signal a significant discount or premium based on the thousands of forward scenarios analyzed.

How LHX stacks up against Industrials

Within the Industrials sector, L3Harris maintains an average quality tier, reflecting its operational and financial health relative to peers. This average standing aligns with its Fairly Valued assessment, suggesting that the company's current price of $302.07 is consistent with its fundamental strength compared to other players. Our analysis indicates that the market has appropriately priced LHX given its sector positioning and financial profile, leading to a median fair value of $288.70 that offers modest potential upside.

What this means for investors

For investors considering LHX, the Fairly Valued verdict implies that the current price of $302.07 already incorporates much of the company's known fundamentals and future prospects, leaving a -4.4% to our P50 fair value of $288.70. This scenario suggests that while LHX isn't currently overvalued, significant catalysts would likely be needed to drive substantial outperformance from its current level. To explore the full distribution of potential bear and bull scenarios, including the probability of various outcomes, sign up for a free FairCurve account and track LHX's fair value as new fundamentals are released.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is LHX overvalued or undervalued right now?

Based on our Monte Carlo simulations, LHX is currently considered Fairly Valued at $302.07, with a median fair value (P50) estimate of $288.70.

What is the bear case and bull case for LHX?

The full Monte Carlo distribution, including specific bear (P10) and bull (P90) target prices, along with the probability of various upside scenarios, is available to users with a free FairCurve account.

How does FairCurve calculate LHX's fair value?

FairCurve calculates LHX's fair value using sophisticated Monte Carlo simulations, running thousands of forward-looking scenarios to determine a comprehensive distribution of potential outcomes.

How can I track LHX's fair value as it changes?

Add LHX to your free FairCurve watchlist to receive daily fair-value updates and instant re-valuations whenever new earnings or other significant fundamental data are released.