NYSE: OUT · Specialty REITs
Outfront Media (OUT) fair value and price range
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Outfront Media (OUT) at $22.50 a share. The stock last closed at $28.70, which puts the model's fair value 21.6% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many valuation methods could be applied and whether they agree with each other, and how many comparable companies there are. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Outfront Media Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
Outfront Media Inc. focuses on connecting businesses with consumers in public environments by integrating sophisticated technology, strategic placement, and innovative creativity.
Faircurve's model on 26 Sep 2026 gave a fair value of $22.50 a share. This fair value moved -11.7% from the previous run on 19 Sep 2026, which was $25.47. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $18.88 to $27.43, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low.
The business quality scores against comparable companies. The comparable companies with no verdict on this date are EPR Properties (EPR), Rayonier Inc. REIT (RYN), Uniti Group Inc. (UNIT), Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI), Weyerhaeuser Company (WY), Lamar Advertising Company (LAMR), SBA Communications Corporation (SBAC), and Crown Castle Inc. (CCI). The median size of moves around the last 8 earnings reports was 4.4%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give OUT?
The calibrated range for OUT over 63 trading days is $18.88 to $27.43. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is above this range. For names with fair value 15%+ below price, the calibrated range has held the price 40% of the time over 63 trading days, and 58% ended above it; the typical move was −0.1%.
The model's own range is $20.89 to $24.29.
How does OUT compare with similar companies?
The companies in specialty reits closest to Outfront Media in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPR EPR Properties | $56.45 | $68.16 | +20.7% | Low evidence grade |
| RYN Rayonier Inc. REIT | $18.06 | $23.02 | +27.5% | Low evidence grade |
| UNIT Uniti Group Inc. | $8.04 | $39.63 | +392.9% | Data under review |
| GLPI Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. | $37.68 | $61.37 | +62.9% | Gap wider than 60% |
| WY Weyerhaeuser Company | $18.47 | $15.29 | -17.2% | No verdict on this run |
| LAMR Lamar Advertising Company | $144.12 | $105.68 | -26.7% | Low evidence grade |
| SBAC SBA Communications Corporation | $158.49 | $194.48 | +22.7% | Low evidence grade |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | $66.44 | $57.26 | -13.8% | Low evidence grade |
When does OUT report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Outfront Media's next earnings report is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 8.4% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
How OUT moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.4%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | -2.6% |
| 7 May 2026 | +6.8% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | +8.3% |
| 6 Nov 2025 | +14.6% |
| 5 Aug 2025 | -1.6% |
| 8 May 2025 | +5.2% |
| 25 Feb 2025 | +1.0% |
| 12 Nov 2024 | +3.6% |
Outfront Media at a glance
Outfront Media Inc. focuses on connecting businesses with consumers in public environments by integrating sophisticated technology, strategic placement, and innovative creativity.
- Market value
- $4.9B
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Specialty REITs
- Beta to the US market
- 0.41
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model values Outfront Media three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for OUT was $25.47. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $22.50, a change of -11.7%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Outfront Media's valuation
Is Outfront Media stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts OUT's fair value at $22.50 a share against a last close of $28.70, as of 26 Sep 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many valuation methods could be applied and whether they agree with each other, and how many comparable companies there are. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is OUT's fair value?
$22.50 a share as of 26 Sep 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $20.89 to $24.29.
What price range does the model give OUT?
$18.88 to $27.43 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Outfront Media report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has OUT moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.4%, ignoring direction. The largest was +14.6% around the report of 6 Nov 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for OUT is low. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many valuation methods could be applied and whether they agree with each other, and how many comparable companies there are. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.