NYSE: WY · Specialty REITs
Weyerhaeuser (WY) fair value and price range
As of 29 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Weyerhaeuser (WY) at $15.29 a share. The stock last closed at $18.47, which puts the model's fair value 17.2% below the price. No verdict is shown for WY on this run. The fair value and its range are shown for reference.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Weyerhaeuser Company.
Faircurve Insights · 29 Sep 2026
Weyerhaeuser Company, established in 1900, holds a prominent global position as one of the largest private proprietors of timberlands.
Faircurve's model valued Weyerhaeuser Company on 29 Sep 2026 at $15.29 a share. This fair value moved -0.5% from the previous run on 26 Sep 2026, which gave $15.36. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $12.83 to $18.64, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, over 4,327 past valuations. The evidence grade is High, based on the dividend record.
The model compares the company with Lamar Advertising Company (LAMR), SBA Communications Corporation (SBAC), Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI), Crown Castle Inc. (CCI), Iron Mountain Incorporated (IRM), Outfront Media Inc. (OUT), EPR Properties (EPR), and Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR). Moves around the last eight earnings reports ranged from +2.4% to -1.9%, with a median size of 1.1%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 29 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give WY?
The calibrated range for WY over 63 trading days is $12.83 to $18.64. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own range is $13.95 to $16.76.
How does WY compare with similar companies?
The companies in specialty reits closest to Weyerhaeuser in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAMR Lamar Advertising Company | $144.12 | $105.68 | -26.7% | Low evidence grade |
| SBAC SBA Communications Corporation | $158.49 | $194.48 | +22.7% | Low evidence grade |
| GLPI Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. | $37.68 | $61.37 | +62.9% | Gap wider than 60% |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | $66.44 | $57.26 | -13.8% | Low evidence grade |
| IRM Iron Mountain Incorporated | $113.39 | $59.25 | -47.7% | Low evidence grade |
| OUT Outfront Media Inc. | $28.70 | $22.50 | -21.6% | Low evidence grade |
| EPR EPR Properties | $56.45 | $68.16 | +20.7% | Low evidence grade |
| DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. | $178.55 | $105.57 | -40.9% | Low evidence grade |
When does WY report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Weyerhaeuser's next earnings report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 10.2% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 48 days out, a window that includes the report. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
How WY moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 1.1%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | +2.4% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | -1.1% |
| 29 Jan 2026 | -1.0% |
| 30 Oct 2025 | -0.9% |
| 24 Jul 2025 | +2.0% |
| 24 Apr 2025 | -1.9% |
| 30 Jan 2025 | +0.3% |
| 24 Oct 2024 | -0.2% |
Weyerhaeuser at a glance
Established in 1900, Weyerhaeuser Company holds a prominent global position as one of the largest private proprietors of timberlands.
- Market value
- $14.4B
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Specialty REITs
- Beta to the US market
- 0.10
- First valued by Faircurve
- 16 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model values Weyerhaeuser three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for WY was $15.36. As of 29 Sep 2026 it is $15.29, a change of -0.5%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Weyerhaeuser's valuation
Is Weyerhaeuser stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts WY's fair value at $15.29 a share against a last close of $18.47, as of 29 Sep 2026. No verdict is shown for WY on this run. The fair value and its range are shown for reference.
What is WY's fair value?
$15.29 a share as of 29 Sep 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $13.95 to $16.76.
What price range does the model give WY?
$12.83 to $18.64 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Weyerhaeuser report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has WY moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 1.1%, ignoring direction. The largest was +2.4% around the report of 30 Jul 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for WY is high. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.