NYSE: PWR · Engineering & Construction

Quanta Services (PWR) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?

As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Quanta Services (PWR) at $629.65 a share. The stock last closed at $676.56, which puts the model's fair value 6.9% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.

Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Quanta Services, Inc.

Model fair value$629.65midpoint of 2,000 simulations
Last close$676.56NYSE: PWR
Gap to fair value-6.9%fair value against price
Model verdictFairly valuedevidence grade: High

Faircurve Insights · 3 Oct 2026

Quanta Services, Inc. is a global provider of specialized contracting solutions. The company operates through three main business segments.

On 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model found a fair value of $629.65 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run on 26 Sep 2026 gave $603.08, so the fair value moved +4.4%. The model's calibrated range over 63 trading days is $528.26 to $767.74, built from the fair value, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is High.

Quanta Services, Inc. has an overall quality score of 63 out of 100 against comparable companies. The model compares it with Comfort Systems USA, Inc., Ferrovial SE, EMCOR Group, Inc., MasTec, Inc., APi Group Corporation, Jacobs Solutions Inc., Sterling Infrastructure, Inc., and Tetra Tech, Inc. The stock's median move around its last 8 earnings reports was 7.1%.

Written from the figures on this page for the 3 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.

What price range does the model give PWR?

The calibrated range for PWR over 63 trading days is $528.26 to $767.74. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.

The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $479.98 to $821.48. In 42% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.

$339.58$1,173.45
Spread of the 2,000 simulated fair values. Solid line: the midpoint, $629.65. Dashed line: the last close, $676.56.

How does PWR score on business quality?

Quanta Services's overall quality score is 63 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.

FactorScore (0 to 100)Headline measurePeer median
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend.389.7%ROIC30.6%
Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash).901.79xFCF / net income0.97x
Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions.9319.8%Revenue growth, trailing16.8%
Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks.80.2%Net buybacks / market value0.4%
Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage.422.01xNet debt / EBITDA-0.01x
StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years.1000.1 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y1.5 pts

How does PWR compare with similar companies?

The companies in engineering & construction closest to Quanta Services in market value, each on the same model and the same date.

CompanyLast closeModel fair valueGapModel verdict
FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc.$1,728.01$1,412.54-18.3%Overvalued
FER.MC Ferrovial SE$47.47$41.44-12.7%Fairly valued
EME EMCOR Group, Inc.$786.61$836.84+6.4%Fairly valued
MTZ MasTec, Inc.$215.93$233.00+7.9%Fairly valued
APG APi Group Corporation$40.48$37.37-7.7%Fairly valued
J Jacobs Solutions Inc.$138.06$131.52-4.7%Fairly valued
STRL Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.$533.42$553.29+3.7%Fairly valued
TTEK Tetra Tech, Inc.$33.12$35.07+5.9%Fairly valued

All engineering & construction stocks ranked by gap to fair value

When does PWR report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?

Quanta Services's next earnings report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.

Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 5.2% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.

How PWR moved around its last 8 earnings reports

Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 7.1%.

Report dateTwo session move
30 Jul 2026+18.9%
30 Apr 2026+18.1%
19 Feb 2026+6.4%
30 Oct 2025+0.1%
31 Jul 2025-3.9%
1 May 2025+9.7%
20 Feb 2025-7.8%
31 Oct 2024-2.6%

Quanta Services at a glance

Quanta Services, Inc. is a global provider of specialized contracting solutions. The company operates through three main business segments: The Electric Power Infrastructure Solutions division is dedicated to designing, procuring, constructing, upgrading.

Market value
$97.6B
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Engineering & Construction
Revenue expected, next twelve months
$44.4B
Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
+38.9%
Analysts with estimates
19
Beta to the US market
1.72
First valued by Faircurve
1 May 2026

How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Quanta Services on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.

What changed in the latest valuation?

On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for PWR was $603.08. As of 3 Oct 2026 it is $629.65, a change of +4.4%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.

Questions about Quanta Services's valuation

Is Quanta Services stock undervalued or overvalued?

On Faircurve's model, PWR reads as Fairly valued as of 3 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $629.65 a share against a last close of $676.56, a gap of -6.9%.

What is PWR's fair value?

$629.65 a share as of 3 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $479.98 to $821.48.

What price range does the model give PWR?

$528.26 to $767.74 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.

When does Quanta Services report earnings next?

The next report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.

How much has PWR moved on past earnings reports?

Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 7.1%, ignoring direction. The largest was +18.9% around the report of 30 Jul 2026.

How confident is the model in this valuation?

The model's evidence grade for PWR is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.

Keep reading