NYSE: ROL · Specialty Business Services
Rollins (ROL) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Rollins (ROL) at $28.95 a share. The stock last closed at $30.16, which puts the model's fair value 4.0% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Rollins, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
Rollins, Inc. operates a network of subsidiaries that specialise in delivering pest and wildlife management solutions to a diverse clientele, encompassing both homeowners and commercial enterprises, throughout the United States and globally.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $28.95 a share for Rollins, Inc. on 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This fair value moved -8.2% from the previous run on 19 Sep 2026, which gave $31.52. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $24.29 to $35.30, built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices; ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model's evidence grade is High.
Rollins, Inc. has an overall quality score of 74 out of 100 against comparable companies. The model compares it with Aramark (ARMK), UL Solutions Inc. (ULS), UniFirst Corporation (UNF), Thomson Reuters Corporation (TRI.TO), ABM Industries Inc. (ABM), and Maximus, Inc. (MMS). The stock's median move around its last 8 earnings reports, ignoring direction, was 4.4%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give ROL?
The calibrated range for ROL over 63 trading days is $24.29 to $35.30. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $23.77 to $34.95. In 44% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does ROL score on business quality?
Rollins's overall quality score is 74 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 83 | 22.9%ROIC | 8.9% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 73 | 1.16xFCF / net income | 1.04x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 56 | 11.0%Revenue growth, trailing | 5.3% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 83 | 1.7%Net buybacks / market value | 0.7% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 86 | 1.16xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.79x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 67 | 0.3 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 0.6 pts |
How does ROL compare with similar companies?
The companies in specialty business services closest to Rollins in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARMK Aramark | $55.55 | $59.18 | +6.5% | Fairly valued |
| ULS UL Solutions Inc. | $65.99 | $66.64 | +1.0% | Fairly valued |
| RBA.TO RB Global, Inc. | $116.75 | $114.12 | -2.3% | Low evidence grade |
| CPRT Copart, Inc. | $27.22 | $30.47 | +11.9% | Low evidence grade |
| UNF UniFirst Corporation | $251.78 | $249.16 | -1.0% | Fairly valued |
| TRI.TO Thomson Reuters Corporation | $139.32 | $148.00 | +6.2% | Fairly valued |
| ABM ABM Industries Inc. | $48.97 | $52.70 | +7.6% | Fairly valued |
| MMS Maximus, Inc. | $52.65 | $59.86 | +13.7% | Fairly valued |
All specialty business services stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does ROL report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Rollins's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 11.5% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 48 days out, a window that includes the report. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
How ROL moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.4%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | -10.1% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | +4.2% |
| 11 Feb 2026 | -9.7% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | +3.1% |
| 23 Jul 2025 | +4.5% |
| 23 Apr 2025 | -0.3% |
| 12 Feb 2025 | +4.0% |
| 23 Oct 2024 | -6.2% |
Rollins at a glance
Rollins, Inc. operates a network of subsidiaries that specialize in delivering pest and wildlife management solutions to a diverse clientele, encompassing both homeowners and commercial enterprises, throughout the United States and globally.
- Market value
- $14.4B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Specialty Business Services
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $4.3B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +8.7%
- Analysts with estimates
- 11
- Beta to the US market
- 0.09
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Rollins on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for ROL was $31.52. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $28.95, a change of -8.2%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Rollins's valuation
Is Rollins stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, ROL reads as Fairly valued as of 26 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $28.95 a share against a last close of $30.16, a gap of -4.0%.
What is ROL's fair value?
$28.95 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $23.77 to $34.95.
What price range does the model give ROL?
$24.29 to $35.30 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Rollins report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has ROL moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.4%, ignoring direction. The largest was -10.1% around the report of 22 Jul 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for ROL is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.