NYSE: VMRK · Residential REITs
Vivmark Residential (VMRK) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Vivmark Residential (VMRK) at $53.87 a share. The stock last closed at $65.25, which puts the model's fair value 17.4% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Overvalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. Vivmark Residential.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices and the next earnings date. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 held the fair value at $53.87, within 1% of the run of 24 Oct 2026.
What the model makes of itThe price of $65.25 is 17.4% above it: Overvalued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 11 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 7% either way over the next month. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give VMRK?
The calibrated range for VMRK over 63 trading days is $60.65 to $71.38. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that VMRK's own options imply (25% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own range is $49.27 to $58.72.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
Vivmark Residential (VMRK) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) and S&P 500 company, formed through the August 2026 merger of equals between Equity Residential and AvalonBay Communities.
On 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model gave Vivmark Residential a fair value of $53.87 a share. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $54.15, so the model's fair value moved -0.5%. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $59.23 to $69.70. It is built from the volatility the stock's own options imply and calibrated weekly against realised prices across 6,661 past valuations. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is High. For REITs, the grade looks at the dividend record, which requires at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. The grade does not say whether the fair value is right.
Faircurve's model compares Vivmark Residential with eight companies, each with a fair value of its own on the site. Seven have a verdict on this date: Essex Property Trust, Inc. (ESS), Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH), Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA), Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. (ELS), UDR, Inc. (UDR), American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) and Camden Property Trust (CPT). Millrose Properties, Inc. (MRP) is the eighth, and it has no verdict on this date. Faircurve first valued Vivmark Residential on 22 Aug 2026.
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
The Global Pulse
Faircurve's note after each US session, in your inbox. No account needed.
When does VMRK report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Vivmark Residential's next earnings report is scheduled for 11 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
On 5 Nov 2026, VMRK's 30 day implied volatility worked out to a move of about 7.1% over one month, in either direction. That is a size, not a direction.
Around its last 2 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across VMRK's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 2.2%.
Earlier reports are left out: the options record is on a different share basis.
How does VMRK compare with similar companies?
The companies in residential reits closest to Vivmark Residential in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESS Essex Property Trust, Inc. | $271.34 | $192.35 | -29.1% | Overvalued |
| INVH Invitation Homes Inc. | $27.56 | $29.37 | +6.6% | Fairly valued |
| MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. | $121.69 | $122.85 | +1.0% | Fairly valued |
| ELS Equity LifeStyle Properties, Inc. | $62.98 | $43.90 | -30.3% | Overvalued |
| UDR UDR, Inc. | $37.01 | $37.65 | +1.7% | Fairly valued |
| AMH American Homes 4 Rent | $33.09 | $33.35 | +0.8% | Fairly valued |
| CPT Camden Property Trust | $103.71 | $86.14 | -16.9% | Overvalued |
| MRP Millrose Properties, Inc. | $26.50 | $31.23 | +17.8% | Low evidence grade |
Vivmark Residential at a glance
Vivmark Residential is a real estate investment trust (REIT) and S&P 500 company formed through the August 2026 merger of equals between Equity Residential and AvalonBay Communities.
- Market value
- $23.2B
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Residential REITs
- Beta to the US market
- 0.02
- First valued by Faircurve
- 22 Aug 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 56.0% of the 1,065 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. VMRK was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model values Vivmark Residential three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for VMRK was $54.15. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $53.87, a change of -0.5%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Vivmark Residential's valuation
Is Vivmark Residential stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, VMRK reads as Overvalued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $53.87 a share against a last close of $65.25, a gap of -17.4%.
What is VMRK's fair value?
$53.87 a share as of 31 Oct 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $49.27 to $58.72.
What price range does the model give VMRK?
$60.65 to $71.38 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Vivmark Residential report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 11 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has VMRK moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 2.2%, ignoring direction. The largest was -6.9% around the report of 28 Oct 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for VMRK is high. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on VMRK
The model holds no idea open on VMRK today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on VMRK with their outcomes. A free account is enough.