NYSE: WPC · Diversified REITs
W. P. Carey (WPC) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values W. P. Carey (WPC) at $45.69 a share. The stock last closed at $65.29, which puts the model's fair value 30.0% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Overvalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. W. P. Carey Inc.
The report adds the live price, the price chart and the next earnings date. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $44.86 to $45.69 (+1.9%). The model does not yet explain moves on this valuation method.
What the model makes of itThe price of $65.29 is 30.0% above it: Overvalued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 9 Feb 2027. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give WPC?
The calibrated range for WPC over 63 trading days is $37.01 to $54.58. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is above this range. For names with fair value 15%+ below price, the calibrated range has held the price 35% of the time over 63 trading days, and 64% ended above it; the typical move was −4.7%.
The model's own range is $42.67 to $48.64.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
W. P. Carey Inc. is recognized as a leading net lease Real Estate Investment Trust, boasting an enterprise value of approximately $18 billion. It sits in the Diversified REITs group within Real Estate, under the ticker WPC.
Faircurve's model put the fair value of W. P. Carey at $45.69 a share on 31 Oct 2026. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $44.86, so the fair value moved +1.9%. In the model's own words, it does not yet explain moves on this valuation method. The calibrated range over 63 trading days runs from $37.01 to $54.58. It is built from the fair value, as there is no live options data for the stock, and calibrated weekly against realised prices across 10,454 past valuations. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence High. For REITs, that grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
The model compares W. P. Carey with VICI Properties Inc., Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc., Broadstone Net Lease, Inc., Global Net Lease, Inc., American Assets Trust, Inc., Safehold Inc. and JBG SMITH Properties, each with a fair value of its own on the site. Rithm Capital Corp. is also a comparable company, with no verdict on this date. The sheet gives no quality score for this run, so none is reported here.
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does WPC report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
W. P. Carey's next earnings report is scheduled for 9 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across WPC's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 1.5%.
How does WPC compare with similar companies?
The companies in diversified reits closest to W. P. Carey in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VICI VICI Properties Inc. | $25.21 | $30.62 | +21.5% | Undervalued |
| EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. | $28.34 | $22.46 | -20.7% | Overvalued |
| RITM Rithm Capital Corp. | $9.45 | $16.13 | +70.7% | Gap wider than 60% |
| BNL Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. | $17.73 | $17.11 | -3.5% | Fairly valued |
| GNL Global Net Lease, Inc. | $7.11 | $8.16 | +14.8% | Undervalued |
| AAT American Assets Trust, Inc. | $21.68 | $25.08 | +15.7% | Undervalued |
| SAFE Safehold Inc. | $10.63 | $13.17 | +23.9% | Undervalued |
| JBGS JBG SMITH Properties | $12.45 | $6.19 | -50.3% | Overvalued |
W. P. Carey at a glance
W. P. Carey is recognized as a leading net lease Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), boasting an enterprise value of approximately $18 billion.
- Market value
- $14.8B
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Diversified REITs
- Beta to the US market
- -0.21
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 55.1% of the 1,060 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. WPC was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model values W. P. Carey three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for WPC was $44.86. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $45.69, a change of +1.9%. The model does not yet explain moves on this valuation method. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about W. P. Carey's valuation
Is W. P. Carey stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, WPC reads as Overvalued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $45.69 a share against a last close of $65.29, a gap of -30.0%.
What is WPC's fair value?
$45.69 a share as of 31 Oct 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $42.67 to $48.64.
What price range does the model give WPC?
$37.01 to $54.58 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does W. P. Carey report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 9 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has WPC moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 1.5%, ignoring direction. The largest was +3.5% around the report of 11 Feb 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for WPC is high. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on WPC
The model holds no idea open on WPC today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on WPC with their outcomes. A free account is enough.