NYSE: BE · Electrical Equipment & Parts
Bloom Energy (BE) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 11 Nov 2026, Faircurve's model values Bloom Energy (BE) at $171.43 a share. The stock last closed at $201.93, which puts the model's fair value 15.1% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Overvalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 12 Nov 2026. Bloom Energy Corporation.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 11 Nov 2026 moved the fair value from $161.89 to $171.43 (+5.9%).
What the model makes of itThe price of $201.93 is 15.1% above it: Overvalued, on a medium evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 4 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 25% either way over the next month. The next weekly run is on Saturday 14 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give BE?
The calibrated range for BE over 63 trading days is $153.19 to $274.69. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that BE's own options imply (87% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 7,355 past valuations, refreshed 7 Nov 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $124.79 to $233.31. In 42% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 11 Nov 2026
Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) sits in Industrials, under Electrical Equipment & Parts. It engineers, produces, markets, and installs solid-oxide fuel cell systems designed for on-site electricity generation, serving clients in the United States and internationally.
Faircurve's model puts the fair value at $171.43 a share on 11 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 7 Nov 2026, gave $161.89, so the fair value moved +5.9%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days runs from $153.19 to $274.69. It is built around the price from implied volatility, and calibrated weekly against realised prices. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence Medium. The grade covers input completeness, comparables and the width of the outcome range. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
The model scores the business 74 out of 100 on quality against comparable companies. Profitability scores 93, with ROIC of 24.9% against a peer median of 14.8%. Growth quality scores 91, with trailing revenue growth of 37.3% against a peer median of 10.0%. Stability scores 18, with EBITDA margin downside volatility of 5.5 pts over five years against a peer median of 2.0 pts. Its comparables are AMETEK, Vertiv, Hubbell, Eaton, nVent, Acuity Brands, EnerSys and Powell Industries.
Written from the figures on this page for the 11 Nov 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does BE report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Bloom Energy's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 12 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 11.3% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 7 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. BE's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 25.2% over one month.
On 11 Nov 2026 BE moved 13.0% in one session, against the 5.6% a day that options had priced: 2.3 times the implied size.
Around its last 5 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across BE's last 5 reports, ignoring direction, was 19.0%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in BE
How does BE score on business quality?
Bloom Energy's overall quality score is 74 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 93 | 24.9%ROIC | 14.8% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 73 | 0.85xFCF / net income | 0.81x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 91 | 37.3%Revenue growth, trailing | 10.0% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 39 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 0.7% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 73 | 0.48xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.92x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 18 | 5.5 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 2.0 pts |
How does BE compare with similar companies?
The companies in electrical equipment & parts closest to Bloom Energy in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AME AMETEK, Inc. | $241.04 | $190.87 | -20.8% | Overvalued |
| VRT Vertiv Holdings Co | $209.64 | $213.63 | +1.9% | Fairly valued |
| HUBB Hubbell Incorporated | $437.98 | $356.00 | -18.7% | Overvalued |
| ETN Eaton Corporation plc | $359.04 | $330.94 | -7.8% | Fairly valued |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | $115.50 | $111.14 | -3.8% | Fairly valued |
| AYI Acuity Brands, Inc. | $330.28 | $402.29 | +21.8% | Undervalued |
| ENS EnerSys | $147.80 | $212.66 | +43.9% | Undervalued |
| POWL Powell Industries, Inc. | $141.77 | $128.47 | -9.4% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for BE, the peer-implied price, is $118.25 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
All electrical equipment & parts stocks ranked by gap to fair value
Bloom Energy at a glance
Bloom Energy Corporation engineers, produces, markets, and installs cutting-edge solid-oxide fuel cell systems designed for on-site electricity generation, serving clients both within the United States and internationally.
- Market value
- $51.2B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Electrical Equipment & Parts
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $6.8B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +119.8%
- Analysts with estimates
- 14
- Beta to the US market
- 4.32
- First valued by Faircurve
- 26 Sep 2026
At the close of 12 Nov 2026, 48.7% of the 1,064 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. BE was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Bloom Energy on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 7 Nov 2026 the model's fair value for BE was $161.89. As of 11 Nov 2026 it is $171.43, a change of +5.9%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Bloom Energy's valuation
Is Bloom Energy stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, BE reads as Overvalued as of 11 Nov 2026. The model's fair value is $171.43 a share against a last close of $201.93, a gap of -15.1%.
What is BE's fair value?
$171.43 a share as of 11 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $124.79 to $233.31.
What price range does the model give BE?
$153.19 to $274.69 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 7,355 past valuations, refreshed 7 Nov 2026.
When does Bloom Energy report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 4 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has BE moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 5 reports the median two session move was 19.0%, ignoring direction. The largest was +23.2% around the report of 28 Oct 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for BE is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on BE
The model holds no idea open on BE today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on BE with their outcomes. A free account is enough.