NYSE: NVT · Electrical Equipment & Parts
nVent Electric (NVT) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values nVent Electric (NVT) at $129.30 a share. The stock last closed at $98.38, which puts the model's fair value 31.4% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Undervalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. nVent Electric plc.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $127.70 to $129.30 (+1.3%). Net debt fell on the latest balance sheet: most of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $98.38 is 31.4% below it: Undervalued, on a medium evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 5 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 22% either way over the next month. On the model's Quality Rebound list since 5 Nov 2026 (a strategy with a proving record). The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give NVT?
The calibrated range for NVT over 63 trading days is $78.80 to $129.21. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that NVT's own options imply (75% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $93.34 to $176.15. In 53% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
nVent Electric plc specializes in the global design, production, distribution, installation and upkeep of electrical connection and protective equipment. Its operations are structured across three distinct divisions.
Faircurve's model put the fair value of nVent at $129.30 a share on 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. That is up from $127.70 on 24 Oct 2026, a move of +1.3%. The model gives the reason as: Net debt fell on the latest balance sheet: most of the move. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $92.33 to $144.32. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model's evidence grade is Medium, which looks at input completeness, comparable companies and the spread of outcomes, but not at whether the fair value is right.
nVent scores 70 out of 100 on quality against comparable companies. Growth quality and Stability each score 96. Revenue growth, trailing, is 29.5% against a peer median of 6.5%, and EBITDA margin downside volatility over five years is 1.0 pts against a peer median of 4.0 pts. The model compares nVent with Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB), Acuity Brands, Inc. (AYI), AMETEK, Inc. (AME), Bloom Energy Corporation (BE), EnerSys (ENS), Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL), Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) and Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW).
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does NVT report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
nVent Electric's next earnings report is scheduled for 5 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 5 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 13.3% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 14 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. NVT's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 21.5% over one month.
On 5 Nov 2026 NVT moved 12.8% in one session, against the 4.2% a day that options had priced: 3.0 times the implied size.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across NVT's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 8.9%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in NVT
How does NVT score on business quality?
nVent Electric's overall quality score is 70 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 48 | 14.1%ROIC | 15.3% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 68 | 0.95xFCF / net income | 0.87x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 96 | 29.5%Revenue growth, trailing | 6.5% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 63 | 0.5%Net buybacks / market value | 1.2% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 70 | 0.90xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.61x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 96 | 1.0 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 4.0 pts |
How does NVT compare with similar companies?
The companies in electrical equipment & parts closest to nVent Electric in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUBB Hubbell Incorporated | $418.79 | $394.40 | -5.8% | Fairly valued |
| AYI Acuity Brands, Inc. | $323.31 | $406.87 | +25.8% | Undervalued |
| AME AMETEK, Inc. | $222.99 | $204.77 | -8.2% | Fairly valued |
| BE Bloom Energy Corporation | $167.52 | $185.11 | +10.5% | Fairly valued |
| ENS EnerSys | $142.58 | $234.60 | +64.5% | Gap wider than 60% |
| POWL Powell Industries, Inc. | $125.06 | $151.29 | +21.0% | Undervalued |
| VRT Vertiv Holdings Co | $176.73 | $249.04 | +40.9% | Undervalued |
| HAYW Hayward Holdings, Inc. | $16.37 | $15.13 | -7.6% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for NVT, the peer-implied price, is $142.19 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
All electrical equipment & parts stocks ranked by gap to fair value
nVent Electric at a glance
nVent Electric plc specializes in the global design, production, distribution, installation, and upkeep of electrical connection and protective equipment. Its operations are structured across three distinct divisions.
- Market value
- $20.4B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Electrical Equipment & Parts
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $6.7B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +42.3%
- Analysts with estimates
- 11
- Beta to the US market
- 2.47
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 56.0% of the 1,065 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. NVT was among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices nVent Electric on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for NVT was $127.70. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $129.30, a change of +1.3%. Net debt fell on the latest balance sheet: most of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about nVent Electric's valuation
Is nVent Electric stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, NVT reads as Undervalued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $129.30 a share against a last close of $98.38, a gap of +31.4%.
What is NVT's fair value?
$129.30 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $93.34 to $176.15.
What price range does the model give NVT?
$78.80 to $129.21 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does nVent Electric report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 5 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has NVT moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 8.9%, ignoring direction. The largest was +15.4% around the report of 1 Aug 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for NVT is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on NVT
The model has an idea open on NVT under Quality Rebound since 5 Nov 2026, a strategy with a proving record. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on NVT with their outcomes. A free account is enough.