NYSE: CR · Industrial Machinery
Crane (CR) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 1 Nov 2026, Faircurve's model values Crane (CR) at $160.97 a share. The stock last closed at $197.79, which puts the model's fair value 18.6% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Overvalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. Crane Company.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 1 Nov 2026 moved the fair value from $148.58 to $160.97 (+8.3%).
What the model makes of itThe price of $197.79 is 18.6% above it: Overvalued, on a medium evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 25 Jan 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 10% either way over the next month. On the model's Earnings Momentum list since 4 Nov 2026 (a strategy with a proving record). The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give CR?
The calibrated range for CR over 63 trading days is $178.41 to $224.51. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that CR's own options imply (35% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $118.00 to $216.45. In 28% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 1 Nov 2026
Crane Company, formerly known as Crane Holdings, Co., is a global industrial manufacturer and distributor of specialised engineered products. It was established in 1855 in Stamford, Connecticut.
Faircurve's model gives Crane Company a fair value of $160.97 a share on 1 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $148.58, so the model's fair value moved +8.3%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $187.58 to $232.89. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, across 6,661 past valuations refreshed on 31 Oct 2026. The model grades the evidence as Medium.
Faircurve's model scores Crane Company 54 out of 100 on quality against comparable companies. Growth quality is highest at 82, with trailing revenue growth of 8.2% against a peer median of 8.6%. Profitability scores 76, with ROIC of 12.9% against a peer median of 9.3%. Earnings quality scores 5, with FCF to net income of 0.82x against a peer median of 1.23x. Stability scores 0, with five-year EBITDA margin downside volatility of 2.9 pts against a peer median of 0.9 pts. The model compares Crane Company with eight companies, including Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (WTS) and Pentair plc (PNR), each with its own fair value on the site.
Written from the figures on this page for the 1 Nov 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
The Global Pulse
Faircurve's note after each US session, in your inbox. No account needed.
When does CR report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Crane's next earnings report is scheduled for 25 Jan 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 5 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 6.1% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 14 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. CR's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 10.0% over one month.
On 5 Nov 2026 CR moved 4.2% in one session, against the 2.1% a day that options had priced: 2.0 times the implied size.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across CR's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.8%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in CR
How does CR score on business quality?
Crane's overall quality score is 54 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 76 | 12.9%ROIC | 9.3% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 5 | 0.82xFCF / net income | 1.23x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 82 | 8.2%Revenue growth, trailing | 8.6% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 61 | 0.1%Net buybacks / market value | 0.9% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 75 | 1.04xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.48x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 0 | 2.9 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 0.9 pts |
How does CR compare with similar companies?
The companies in industrial machinery closest to Crane in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | $347.46 | $317.98 | -8.5% | Fairly valued |
| GNRC Generac Holdings Inc. | $172.33 | $212.74 | +23.4% | Undervalued |
| LII Lennox International Inc. | $348.79 | $359.33 | +3.0% | Fairly valued |
| GGG Graco Inc. | $67.97 | $75.63 | +11.3% | Fairly valued |
| PNR Pentair plc | $69.77 | $67.38 | -3.4% | Fairly valued |
| RRX Regal Rexnord Corporation | $160.30 | $170.53 | +6.4% | Fairly valued |
| FLS Flowserve Corporation | $78.04 | $79.46 | +1.8% | Fairly valued |
| DCI Donaldson Company, Inc. | $83.27 | $86.52 | +3.9% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for CR, the peer-implied price, is $104.64 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
Crane at a glance
Established in 1855 in Stamford, Connecticut, Crane Company, formerly known as Crane Holdings, Co., is a global industrial manufacturer and distributor of specialized engineered products.
- Market value
- $11.4B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Industrial Machinery
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $3.0B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +26.1%
- Analysts with estimates
- 4
- Beta to the US market
- 1.42
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 56.0% of the 1,065 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. CR was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Crane on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for CR was $148.58. As of 1 Nov 2026 it is $160.97, a change of +8.3%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Crane's valuation
Is Crane stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, CR reads as Overvalued as of 1 Nov 2026. The model's fair value is $160.97 a share against a last close of $197.79, a gap of -18.6%.
What is CR's fair value?
$160.97 a share as of 1 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $118.00 to $216.45.
What price range does the model give CR?
$178.41 to $224.51 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Crane report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 25 Jan 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has CR moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.8%, ignoring direction. The largest was -9.1% around the report of 26 Jan 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for CR is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on CR
The model has an idea open on CR under Earnings Momentum since 4 Nov 2026, a strategy with a proving record. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on CR with their outcomes. A free account is enough.