NYSE: RRX · Industrial Machinery
Regal Rexnord (RRX) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Regal Rexnord (RRX) at $170.53 a share. The stock last closed at $160.30, which puts the model's fair value 6.4% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. Regal Rexnord Corporation.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $164.62 to $170.53 (+3.6%). The stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $160.30 is 6.4% below it: Fairly valued, on a medium evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 3 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 16% either way over the next month. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give RRX?
The calibrated range for RRX over 63 trading days is $135.43 to $197.19. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that RRX's own options imply (57% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $120.63 to $232.60. In 58% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
Regal Rexnord Corporation, formerly Regal Beloit Corporation, is a global enterprise. It designs, manufactures, and distributes a comprehensive range of industrial products.
On 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model put the fair value at $170.53 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The fair value moved +3.6% from $164.62 on the previous run, on 24 Oct 2026. In the model's own words, the stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $135.43 to $197.19. It is built around the price from the volatility the stock's own options imply, and calibrated weekly against 6,661 past valuations. Such ranges held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence Medium. The grade does not say whether the fair value is right.
The business scores 22 out of 100 on the model's overall quality score. Profitability scores 5, with ROIC of 5.2% against a peer median of 11.0%. Balance sheet scores 9, with net debt to EBITDA of 3.54x against a peer median of 1.74x. The model compares it with Pentair plc (PNR), Graco Inc. (GGG), Flowserve Corporation (FLS), Donaldson Company, Inc. (DCI), Crane Company (CR), Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (WTS), Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) and Lennox International Inc. (LII).
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does RRX report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Regal Rexnord's next earnings report is scheduled for 3 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 5 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 10.3% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 14 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. RRX's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 16.4% over one month.
On 5 Nov 2026 RRX moved 7.5% in one session, against the 3.0% a day that options had priced: 2.5 times the implied size, around an earnings report.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across RRX's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 7.7%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in RRX
How does RRX score on business quality?
Regal Rexnord's overall quality score is 22 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 5 | 5.2%ROIC | 11.0% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 33 | 1.44xFCF / net income | 1.49x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 30 | -1.6%Revenue growth, trailing | 4.6% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 46 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 1.1% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 9 | 3.54xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.74x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 21 | 1.9 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.2 pts |
How does RRX compare with similar companies?
The companies in industrial machinery closest to Regal Rexnord in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PNR Pentair plc | $69.77 | $67.38 | -3.4% | Fairly valued |
| GGG Graco Inc. | $67.97 | $75.63 | +11.3% | Fairly valued |
| FLS Flowserve Corporation | $78.04 | $79.46 | +1.8% | Fairly valued |
| DCI Donaldson Company, Inc. | $83.27 | $86.52 | +3.9% | Fairly valued |
| CR Crane Company | $197.79 | $160.97 | -18.6% | Overvalued |
| WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | $347.46 | $317.98 | -8.5% | Fairly valued |
| GNRC Generac Holdings Inc. | $172.33 | $212.74 | +23.4% | Undervalued |
| LII Lennox International Inc. | $348.79 | $359.33 | +3.0% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for RRX, the peer-implied price, is $191.10 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
Regal Rexnord at a glance
Regal Rexnord Corporation, formerly known as Regal Beloit Corporation, is a global enterprise that designs, manufactures, and distributes a comprehensive range of industrial products.
- Market value
- $10.5B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Industrial Machinery
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $6.9B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +4.4%
- Analysts with estimates
- 7
- Beta to the US market
- 2.14
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 55.1% of the 1,060 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. RRX was among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Regal Rexnord on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for RRX was $164.62. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $170.53, a change of +3.6%. The stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Regal Rexnord's valuation
Is Regal Rexnord stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, RRX reads as Fairly valued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $170.53 a share against a last close of $160.30, a gap of +6.4%.
What is RRX's fair value?
$170.53 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $120.63 to $232.60.
What price range does the model give RRX?
$135.43 to $197.19 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Regal Rexnord report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 3 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has RRX moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 7.7%, ignoring direction. The largest was -18.6% around the report of 5 Aug 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for RRX is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on RRX
The model holds no idea open on RRX today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on RRX with their outcomes. A free account is enough.