NYSE: ESI · Specialty Chemicals
Element Solutions (ESI) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 1 Nov 2026, Faircurve's model values Element Solutions (ESI) at $29.91 a share. The stock last closed at $35.07, which puts the model's fair value 14.7% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 3 Nov 2026. Element Solutions Inc.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 1 Nov 2026 moved the fair value from $30.68 to $29.91 (-2.5%).
What the model makes of itThe price of $35.07 is 14.7% above it: Fairly valued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 16 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 13% either way over the next month. On the model's Earnings Momentum list since 14 Oct 2026 (a strategy with a proving record). The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give ESI?
The calibrated range for ESI over 63 trading days is $30.71 to $41.29. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that ESI's own options imply (45% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $23.02 to $37.93. In 31% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 1 Nov 2026
Element Solutions Inc (ESI) is a specialty chemicals company headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. It operates as a multinational enterprise, with significant business operations in the United States, China, and various international territories.
Faircurve's model put the fair value at $29.91 a share on 1 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $30.68, so the model's fair value moved -2.5%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days runs from $30.71 to $41.29. It is built around the price, using the volatility the stock's own options imply. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, based on 6,661 past valuations refreshed on 31 Oct 2026. The model grades the evidence High, based on input completeness, the number and agreement of comparable companies, and the width of outcomes. The grade does not say whether the fair value is right.
The business scores 50 out of 100 on the model's overall quality measure against comparable companies. Growth quality scores 99, with trailing revenue growth of 3.8% against a peer median of -1.4%. Balance sheet scores 14, with net debt to EBITDA of 3.99x against a peer median of 2.39x. The model compares the company with Westlake Corporation (WLK), Eastman Chemical Company (EMN), Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. (SOLS), NewMarket Corporation (NEU), Albemarle Corporation (ALB), Balchem Corp (BCPC), RPM International Inc. (RPM) and Sensient Technologies Corporation (SXT).
Written from the figures on this page for the 1 Nov 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does ESI report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Element Solutions's next earnings report is scheduled for 16 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 4 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 9.9% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 15 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. ESI's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 12.9% over one month.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across ESI's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.8%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in ESI
How does ESI score on business quality?
Element Solutions's overall quality score is 50 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 43 | 8.6%ROIC | 11.2% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 44 | 0.86xFCF / net income | 0.75x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 99 | 3.8%Revenue growth, trailing | -1.4% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 56 | 0.5%Net buybacks / market value | 0.8% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 14 | 3.99xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.39x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 13 | 2.5 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.3 pts |
How does ESI compare with similar companies?
The companies in specialty chemicals closest to Element Solutions in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WLK Westlake Corporation | $68.47 | $62.00 | -9.4% | Fairly valued |
| EMN Eastman Chemical Company | $65.34 | $90.30 | +38.2% | Undervalued |
| SOLS Solstice Advanced Materials Inc. | $61.74 | $60.17 | -2.5% | Fairly valued |
| NEU NewMarket Corporation | $749.72 | $747.49 | -0.3% | Fairly valued |
| ALB Albemarle Corporation | $90.19 | $108.34 | +20.1% | Undervalued |
| BCPC Balchem Corp | $175.51 | $158.63 | -9.6% | Fairly valued |
| RPM RPM International Inc. | $105.35 | $106.09 | +0.7% | Fairly valued |
| SXT Sensient Technologies Corporation | $116.87 | $109.40 | -6.4% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for ESI, the peer-implied price, is $23.28 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
Element Solutions at a glance
Headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, Element Solutions Inc (ESI) operates as a multinational specialty chemicals enterprise, with significant business operations in the United States, China, and various international territories.
- Market value
- $8.4B
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Specialty Chemicals
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $4.0B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +47.9%
- Analysts with estimates
- 6
- Beta to the US market
- 2.17
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 3 Nov 2026, 52.1% of the 1,081 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. ESI was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Element Solutions on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for ESI was $30.68. As of 1 Nov 2026 it is $29.91, a change of -2.5%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Element Solutions's valuation
Is Element Solutions stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, ESI reads as Fairly valued as of 1 Nov 2026. The model's fair value is $29.91 a share against a last close of $35.07, a gap of -14.7%.
What is ESI's fair value?
$29.91 a share as of 1 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $23.02 to $37.93.
What price range does the model give ESI?
$30.71 to $41.29 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Element Solutions report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 16 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has ESI moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.8%, ignoring direction. The largest was -7.2% around the report of 21 Oct 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for ESI is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on ESI
The model has an idea open on ESI under Earnings Momentum since 14 Oct 2026, a strategy with a proving record. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on ESI with their outcomes. A free account is enough.