NYSE: KRG · Retail REITs
Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG) at $33.72 a share. The stock last closed at $24.39, which puts the model's fair value 38.3% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Undervalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Kite Realty Group Trust.
Faircurve Insights · 3 Oct 2026
Kite Realty Group Trust operates as a comprehensive, vertically integrated real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on creating accessible and valuable retail destinations for communities.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $33.72 a share on 3 Oct 2026. This fair value blends a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The previous run on 26 Sep 2026 gave $35.00, meaning the fair value moved -3.7%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $28.13 to $40.88, built from the fair value since there is no live options data for the stock, and calibrated weekly against realised prices (4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model’s evidence grade is High, looking at the dividend record for at least three years of paid dividends with no cut.
The model compares Kite Realty Group Trust with Phillips Edison & Co. (PECO), Tanger Inc. (SKT), NNN REIT, Inc. (NNN), Agree Realty Corporation (ADC), Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX), and Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT). Moves around the last 8 earnings reports were 30 Jul 2026 -0.8%, 29 Apr 2026 0.0%, 17 Feb 2026 +1.5%, 29 Oct 2025 -3.2%, 30 Jul 2025 -4.8%, 29 Apr 2025 +11.9%, 11 Feb 2025 -1.0%, and 30 Oct 2024 -0.3%. The median size, ignoring direction, was 1.3%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 3 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give KRG?
The calibrated range for KRG over 63 trading days is $28.13 to $40.88. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is below this range. For names with fair value 30%+ above price, the calibrated range has held the price 29% of the time over 63 trading days, and 71% ended below it; the typical move was +4.4%.
The model's own range is $30.99 to $37.43.
How does KRG compare with similar companies?
The companies in retail reits closest to Kite Realty Group Trust in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PECO Phillips Edison & Co. | $37.76 | $31.68 | -16.1% | Overvalued |
| SKT Tanger Inc. | $35.11 | $30.77 | -12.4% | Overvalued |
| MAC The Macerich Company | $23.05 | $8.01 | -65.2% | Gap wider than 60% |
| CURB Curbline Properties Corp. | $28.27 | $14.10 | -50.1% | Low evidence grade |
| NNN NNN REIT, Inc. | $40.95 | $42.18 | +3.0% | Fairly valued |
| ADC Agree Realty Corporation | $65.88 | $51.08 | -22.5% | Overvalued |
| BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. | $27.39 | $30.53 | +11.5% | Undervalued |
| FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust | $106.69 | $93.66 | -12.2% | Overvalued |
When does KRG report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Kite Realty Group Trust's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How KRG moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 1.3%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | -0.8% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | 0.0% |
| 17 Feb 2026 | +1.5% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | -3.2% |
| 30 Jul 2025 | -4.8% |
| 29 Apr 2025 | +11.9% |
| 11 Feb 2025 | -1.0% |
| 30 Oct 2024 | -0.3% |
Kite Realty Group Trust at a glance
Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG) operates as a comprehensive, vertically integrated real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on creating accessible and valuable retail destinations for communities.
- Market value
- $4.9B
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Retail REITs
- Beta to the US market
- -0.01
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model values Kite Realty Group Trust three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for KRG was $35.00. As of 3 Oct 2026 it is $33.72, a change of -3.7%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Kite Realty Group Trust's valuation
Is Kite Realty Group Trust stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, KRG reads as Undervalued as of 3 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $33.72 a share against a last close of $24.39, a gap of +38.3%.
What is KRG's fair value?
$33.72 a share as of 3 Oct 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $30.99 to $37.43.
What price range does the model give KRG?
$28.13 to $40.88 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026.
When does Kite Realty Group Trust report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has KRG moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 1.3%, ignoring direction. The largest was +11.9% around the report of 29 Apr 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for KRG is high. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.