NYSE: BRX · Retail REITs

Brixmor Property Group (BRX) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?

As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Brixmor Property Group (BRX) at $31.80 a share. The stock last closed at $29.41, which puts the model's fair value 8.1% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.

Revalued . Price is the close of 3 Nov 2026. Brixmor Property Group Inc.

The report adds the live price, the price chart and the next earnings date. No account needed.

Model fair value$31.80blend of three valuation methods
Last close$29.41NYSE: BRX
Gap to fair value+8.1%fair value against price
Model verdictFairly valuedevidence grade: High

This week, in three parts

What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 held the fair value at $31.80, within 1% of the run of 24 Oct 2026.

What the model makes of itThe price of $29.41 is 8.1% below it: Fairly valued, on a high evidence grade.

What's nextNext report on 8 Feb 2027. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.

What price range does the model give BRX?

The calibrated range for BRX over 63 trading days is $25.76 to $37.98. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.

The model's own range is $29.08 to $35.28.

$24.44$42.64
The shape of the range around the fair value, from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. Solid line: the fair value, $31.80. Dashed line: the last close, $29.41.

Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026

Brixmor Property Group Inc. (NYSE: BRX) is a prominent real estate investment trust (REIT). It specialises in owning and managing a high-calibre, nationwide collection of open-air retail centres.

On 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model put the fair value at $31.80 a share. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $31.59, so the model's fair value moved +0.7%. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $25.76 to $37.98. It is built from the model's fair value, since there is no live options data for the stock. The range is calibrated weekly against realised prices, using 10,454 past valuations. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is High. For REITs, the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It does not say whether the fair value is right.

The sheet holds no quality scores for Brixmor, so this note cannot report how the business scores against its peers. The model compares Brixmor with Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT), Agree Realty Corporation (ADC), NNN REIT, Inc. (NNN), Regency Centers Corporation (REG), Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG), Phillips Edison & Co. (PECO) and Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM), each with a fair value of its own on the site. The Macerich Company (MAC) is also a comparable but has no verdict on this date.

Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.

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When does BRX report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?

Brixmor Property Group's next earnings report is scheduled for 8 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.

Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed

Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across BRX's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 1.9%.

0%5%no quote0.2%28 Oct '24no quote2.0%10 Feb '25no quote2.8%28 Jul '25no quote4.1%27 Oct '25no quote1.8%9 Feb '26no quote0.2%27 Apr '26no quote1.9%27 Jul '26no quote2.1%26 Oct '26priced before the reportthe move that followed
What the options market priced for each report, against the size of the move that followed. Priced: the move implied by options expiring after the report, on the last quote before it. Followed: the close before the report to the close after. Sizes only, no direction.

How does BRX compare with similar companies?

The companies in retail reits closest to Brixmor Property Group in market value, each on the same model and the same date.

CompanyLast closeModel fair valueGapModel verdict
FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust$111.64$100.58-9.9%Overvalued
ADC Agree Realty Corporation$68.86$53.82-21.8%Overvalued
NNN NNN REIT, Inc.$41.69$44.70+7.2%Fairly valued
MAC The Macerich Company$24.74$8.42-66.0%Gap wider than 60%
REG Regency Centers Corporation$75.17$55.99-25.5%Overvalued
KRG Kite Realty Group Trust$25.42$36.37+43.1%Undervalued
PECO Phillips Edison & Co.$39.58$34.50-12.8%Overvalued
KIM Kimco Realty Corporation$24.99$19.72-21.1%Overvalued

All retail reit stocks ranked by gap to fair value

Brixmor Property Group at a glance

Brixmor (NYSE: BRX) is a prominent real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership and management of a high-caliber, nationwide collection of open-air retail centers.

Market value
$8.9B
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
Retail REITs
Beta to the US market
-0.14
First valued by Faircurve
11 Jul 2026

At the close of 3 Nov 2026, 52.1% of the 1,081 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. BRX was among them.

How the fair value is worked out: the model values Brixmor Property Group three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.

What changed in the latest valuation?

On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for BRX was $31.59. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $31.80, a change of +0.7%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.

Questions about Brixmor Property Group's valuation

Is Brixmor Property Group stock undervalued or overvalued?

On Faircurve's model, BRX reads as Fairly valued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $31.80 a share against a last close of $29.41, a gap of +8.1%.

What is BRX's fair value?

$31.80 a share as of 31 Oct 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $29.08 to $35.28.

What price range does the model give BRX?

$25.76 to $37.98 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.

When does Brixmor Property Group report earnings next?

The next report is scheduled for 8 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.

How much has BRX moved on past earnings reports?

Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 1.9%, ignoring direction. The largest was -4.1% around the report of 27 Oct 2025.

How confident is the model in this valuation?

The model's evidence grade for BRX is high. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.

The model's own ideas on BRX

The model holds no idea open on BRX today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on BRX with their outcomes. A free account is enough.

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