NYSE: NABL · Information Technology Services
N-able (NABL) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values N-able (NABL) at $4.83 a share. The stock last closed at $4.23, which puts the model's fair value 14.2% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. N-able, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
N-able, Inc. furnishes cloud-powered software offerings for managed service providers across the United States, the United Kingdom, and globally.
Faircurve's model on 26 Sep 2026 found a fair value of $4.83 a share, which is the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This fair value moved +2.3% from the previous run on 19 Sep 2026, which gave $4.72. The model's calibrated range over 63 trading days is $4.05 to $5.89, built from the fair value because there is no live options data for the stock. This range held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, and the model grades the evidence as Medium.
The company's overall quality score is 63 out of 100 against comparable companies. The model compares it with Concentrix Corporation (CNXC), Parsons Corporation (PSN), Insight Enterprises, Inc. (NSIT), and ExlService Holdings, Inc. (EXLS). Moves around the last 8 earnings reports, measured from the close before each report to the close after it, have a median size of 11.7%, ignoring direction.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give NABL?
The calibrated range for NABL over 63 trading days is $4.05 to $5.89. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $3.41 to $6.49. In 68% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does NABL score on business quality?
N-able's overall quality score is 63 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 63 | 3.3%ROIC | 1.1% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 75 | ||
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 55 | 9.7%Revenue growth, trailing | 0.9% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 44 | 2.7%Net buybacks / market value | 2.0% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 38 | 4.70xNet debt / EBITDA | 4.44x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 100 | 1.9 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 7.0 pts |
How does NABL compare with similar companies?
The companies in information technology services closest to N-able in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDYN Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. | $8.02 | $7.59 | -5.4% | Low evidence grade |
| VRRM Verra Mobility Corporation | $2.81 | $5.32 | +89.3% | Gap wider than 60% |
| CNXC Concentrix Corporation | $24.91 | $36.40 | +46.1% | Undervalued |
| DXC DXC Technology Company | $11.10 | $17.24 | +55.3% | Low evidence grade |
| KD Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. | $11.56 | $17.53 | +51.6% | Low evidence grade |
| PSN Parsons Corporation | $40.79 | $51.77 | +26.9% | Undervalued |
| NSIT Insight Enterprises, Inc. | $160.66 | $149.44 | -7.0% | Fairly valued |
| EXLS ExlService Holdings, Inc. | $35.75 | $34.81 | -2.6% | Fairly valued |
All information technology services stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does NABL report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
N-able's next earnings report is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How NABL moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 11.7%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | -36.9% |
| 7 May 2026 | -11.7% |
| 19 Feb 2026 | -10.5% |
| 6 Nov 2025 | +5.9% |
| 7 Aug 2025 | -6.6% |
| 8 May 2025 | +12.7% |
| 3 Mar 2025 | -28.0% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | -11.7% |
N-able at a glance
N-able, Inc. furnishes cloud-powered software offerings specifically for managed service providers (MSPs) across the United States, the United Kingdom, and globally.
- Market value
- $754M
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Information Technology Services
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $565M
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +5.8%
- Analysts with estimates
- 3
- Beta to the US market
- 0.55
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices N-able on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for NABL was $4.72. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $4.83, a change of +2.3%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about N-able's valuation
Is N-able stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, NABL reads as Fairly valued as of 26 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $4.83 a share against a last close of $4.23, a gap of +14.2%.
What is NABL's fair value?
$4.83 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $3.41 to $6.49.
What price range does the model give NABL?
$4.05 to $5.89 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does N-able report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has NABL moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 11.7%, ignoring direction. The largest was -36.9% around the report of 10 Aug 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for NABL is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.