NYSE: RBC · Tools & Accessories
RBC Bearings (RBC) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values RBC Bearings (RBC) at $395.72 a share. The stock last closed at $464.79, which puts the model's fair value 14.9% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. RBC Bearings Incorporated.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $413.73 to $395.72 (-4.4%). The peer group changed: part of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $464.79 is 14.9% above it: Fairly valued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 4 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 9% either way over the next month. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give RBC?
The calibrated range for RBC over 63 trading days is $423.19 to $521.53. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that RBC's own options imply (32% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $297.75 to $523.56. In 32% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) is a global enterprise. It specialises in designing, producing and distributing precisely engineered bearings and a wide array of related mechanical components.
Faircurve's model put the fair value at $395.72 a share on 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $413.73, so the fair value moved -4.4%. In the model's own words, "The peer group changed: part of the move." The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $423.19 to $521.53. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is High, which reflects the completeness of the inputs, the number and agreement of comparable companies, and the width of the range of outcomes. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
RBC scores 41 out of 100 on the model's overall quality measure, a composite of six factors. Growth quality is highest at 91, with trailing revenue growth of 14.3% against a peer median of 5.7%. Stability scores 0, with 5y EBITDA margin downside volatility of 3.3 pts against a peer median of 1.3 pts. Capital discipline scores 8, with net buybacks at 0.1% of market value against a peer median of 1.6%. The model compares RBC with Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO), Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK), Snap-on Incorporated (SNA), The Toro Company (TTC) and The Timken Company (TKR).
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
The Global Pulse
Faircurve's note after each US session, in your inbox. No account needed.
When does RBC report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
RBC Bearings's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 5 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 5.6% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 14 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. RBC's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 9.1% over one month.
On 4 Nov 2026 RBC moved 3.8% in one session, against the 1.8% a day that options had priced: 2.1 times the implied size.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across RBC's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 5.0%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in RBC
How does RBC score on business quality?
RBC Bearings's overall quality score is 41 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 30 | 9.2%ROIC | 14.5% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 35 | 1.13xFCF / net income | 1.24x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 91 | 14.3%Revenue growth, trailing | 5.7% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 8 | 0.1%Net buybacks / market value | 1.6% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 63 | 1.09xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.29x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 0 | 3.3 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.3 pts |
How does RBC compare with similar companies?
The companies in tools & accessories closest to RBC Bearings in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LECO Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. | $272.13 | $273.87 | +0.6% | Fairly valued |
| SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. | $115.27 | $130.77 | +13.4% | Fairly valued |
| SNA Snap-on Incorporated | $366.44 | $384.26 | +4.9% | Fairly valued |
| TTC The Toro Company | $105.13 | $111.09 | +5.7% | Fairly valued |
| TKR The Timken Company | $99.94 | $126.38 | +26.5% | Undervalued |
| KMT Kennametal Inc. | $23.22 | $44.79 | +92.9% | Gap wider than 60% |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for RBC, the peer-implied price, is $297.62 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
RBC Bearings at a glance
RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) is a global enterprise specializing in the design, production, and distribution of precisely engineered bearings and a wide array of related mechanical components.
- Market value
- $14.6B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Tools & Accessories
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $2.2B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +13.7%
- Analysts with estimates
- 8
- Beta to the US market
- 1.17
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 55.1% of the 1,060 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. RBC was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices RBC Bearings on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for RBC was $413.73. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $395.72, a change of -4.4%. The peer group changed: part of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about RBC Bearings's valuation
Is RBC Bearings stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, RBC reads as Fairly valued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $395.72 a share against a last close of $464.79, a gap of -14.9%.
What is RBC's fair value?
$395.72 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $297.75 to $523.56.
What price range does the model give RBC?
$423.19 to $521.53 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does RBC Bearings report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 4 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has RBC moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 5.0%, ignoring direction. The largest was +14.1% around the report of 31 Jan 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for RBC is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on RBC
The model holds no idea open on RBC today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on RBC with their outcomes. A free account is enough.