NYSE: TTC · Tools & Accessories
Toro (TTC) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Toro (TTC) at $111.09 a share. The stock last closed at $105.13, which puts the model's fair value 5.7% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. The Toro Company.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $108.92 to $111.09 (+2.0%). The stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $105.13 is 5.7% below it: Fairly valued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextReports on 16 Dec 2026. Options expiring after the report price a move of about 10% either way. On the model's Quality Momentum list since 30 Oct 2026 (a strategy with a proving record). The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give TTC?
The calibrated range for TTC over 63 trading days is $93.82 to $120.91. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that TTC's own options imply (38% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $90.92 to $133.78. In 55% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
The Toro Company specializes in the global development, manufacturing, distribution and sale of equipment for commercial and home use.
Faircurve's model put the fair value of The Toro Company at $111.09 a share on 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $108.92, so the model's fair value moved +2.0%. In the model's own words, the stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $97.84 to $120.66, calibrated weekly against realised prices. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is High, based on how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. The grade does not say whether the fair value is right.
The company scores 82 out of 100 on quality against comparable companies. Profitability and earnings quality each score 100: ROIC is 17.3% against a peer median of 10.9%, and FCF / net income is 1.96x against a peer median of 0.97x. Capital discipline scores 83, with net buybacks at 3.8% of market value against a peer median of 0.6%. The model compares the company with The Timken Company (TKR), RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC), Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO), Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) and Snap-on Incorporated (SNA).
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does TTC report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Toro's next earnings report is scheduled for 16 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 5 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 10.4% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 42 days out, a window that includes the report. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. TTC's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 11.1% over one month.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across TTC's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 5.4%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in TTC
How does TTC score on business quality?
Toro's overall quality score is 82 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 100 | 17.3%ROIC | 10.9% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 100 | 1.96xFCF / net income | 0.97x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 56 | -1.6%Revenue growth, trailing | -3.8% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 83 | 3.8%Net buybacks / market value | 0.6% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 55 | 1.36xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.53x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 67 | 1.2 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.3 pts |
How does TTC compare with similar companies?
The companies in tools & accessories closest to Toro in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TKR The Timken Company | $99.94 | $126.38 | +26.5% | Undervalued |
| RBC RBC Bearings Incorporated | $464.79 | $395.72 | -14.9% | Fairly valued |
| LECO Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. | $272.13 | $273.87 | +0.6% | Fairly valued |
| SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. | $115.27 | $130.77 | +13.4% | Fairly valued |
| SNA Snap-on Incorporated | $366.44 | $384.26 | +4.9% | Fairly valued |
| KMT Kennametal Inc. | $23.22 | $44.79 | +92.9% | Gap wider than 60% |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for TTC, the peer-implied price, is $121.42 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
Toro at a glance
The Toro Company specializes in the global development, manufacturing, distribution, and sale of a diverse array of equipment for both commercial and home use.
- Market value
- $10.2B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Tools & Accessories
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $5.0B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +6.3%
- Analysts with estimates
- 5
- Beta to the US market
- 0.26
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 55.1% of the 1,060 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. TTC was among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Toro on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for TTC was $108.92. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $111.09, a change of +2.0%. The stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Toro's valuation
Is Toro stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, TTC reads as Fairly valued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $111.09 a share against a last close of $105.13, a gap of +5.7%.
What is TTC's fair value?
$111.09 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $90.92 to $133.78.
What price range does the model give TTC?
$93.82 to $120.91 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Toro report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 16 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has TTC moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 5.4%, ignoring direction. The largest was -9.8% around the report of 5 Sep 2024.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for TTC is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on TTC
The model has an idea open on TTC under Quality Momentum since 30 Oct 2026, a strategy with a proving record. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on TTC with their outcomes. A free account is enough.