NYSE: TTC ยท Tools & Accessories
Toro (TTC) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 21 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Toro (TTC) at $89.08 a share. The stock last closed at $93.39, which puts the model's fair value 4.6% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 21 Sep 2026. The Toro Company.
What price range does the model give TTC?
The calibrated range for TTC over 63 trading days is $84.84 to $111.94. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that TTC's own options imply (39% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 2,982 past valuations, refreshed 19 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $72.60 to $107.62. In 42% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does TTC score on business quality?
Toro's overall quality score is 74 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 100 | 17.3%ROIC | 10.6% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 84 | 1.96xFCF / net income | 1.12x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 35 | -1.6%Revenue growth, trailing | 0.2% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 89 | 4.3%Net buybacks / market value | 0.7% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 67 | 1.36xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.11x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 44 | 1.2 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 0.9 pts |
How does TTC compare with similar companies?
The companies in tools & accessories closest to Toro in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TKR The Timken Company | $114.84 | $116.12 | +1.1% | Fairly valued |
| SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. | $88.68 | $114.90 | +29.6% | Undervalued |
| LECO Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. | $258.32 | $280.63 | +8.6% | Fairly valued |
| RBC RBC Bearings Incorporated | $492.56 | $434.37 | -11.8% | Fairly valued |
| SNA Snap-on Incorporated | $369.75 | $369.43 | -0.1% | Fairly valued |
| KMT Kennametal Inc. | $29.47 | $46.45 | +57.6% | Undervalued |
When does TTC report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Toro's next earnings report is scheduled for 16 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.
On 21 Sep 2026, TTC's 30 day implied volatility worked out to a move of about 11.4% over one month, in either direction. That is a size, not a direction.
How TTC moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.5%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | -5.9% |
| 4 Jun 2026 | -4.1% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | -1.3% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | +7.6% |
| 4 Sep 2025 | +1.4% |
| 5 Jun 2025 | +0.5% |
| 6 Mar 2025 | -6.1% |
| 18 Dec 2024 | -4.9% |
Toro at a glance
The Toro Company specializes in the global development, manufacturing, distribution, and sale of a diverse array of equipment for both commercial and home use.
- Market value
- $8.9B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Tools & Accessories
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $5.0B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +6.3%
- Analysts with estimates
- 4
- Beta to the US market
- 0.37
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Toro on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 12 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for TTC was $88.94. As of 21 Sep 2026 it is $89.08, a change of +0.2%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Toro's valuation
Is Toro stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, TTC reads as Fairly valued as of 21 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $89.08 a share against a last close of $93.39, a gap of -4.6%.
What is TTC's fair value?
$89.08 a share as of 21 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $72.60 to $107.62.
What price range does the model give TTC?
$84.84 to $111.94 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 2,982 past valuations, refreshed 19 Sep 2026.
When does Toro report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 16 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has TTC moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.5%, ignoring direction. The largest was +7.6% around the report of 17 Dec 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
Model confidence for TTC is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.