NASDAQ: SCHL · Publishing

Scholastic (SCHL) fair value and price range

As of 12 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Scholastic (SCHL) at $36.30 a share. The stock last closed at $39.26, which puts the model's fair value 7.5% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.

Revalued . Price is the close of 13 Oct 2026. Scholastic Corporation.

The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.

Model fair value$36.30midpoint of 2,000 simulations
Last close$39.26NASDAQ: SCHL
Gap to fair value-7.5%fair value against price
Model verdictLow evidence gradeevidence grade: Low

This week, in three parts

What happenedThe run of 12 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $34.83 to $36.30 (+4.2%).

What the model makes of itThe price of $39.26 is 7.5% above it. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.

What's nextReports on 17 Dec 2026. The next weekly run is on Saturday 17 Oct 2026.

What price range does the model give SCHL?

The calibrated range for SCHL over 63 trading days is $29.92 to $43.62. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,214 past valuations, refreshed 10 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.

The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $18.47 to $61.29. In 47% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.

$4.51$112.65
Spread of the 2,000 simulated fair values. Solid line: the midpoint, $36.30. Dashed line: the last close, $39.26.

Faircurve Insights · 12 Oct 2026

Scholastic Corporation, founded in 1920 and headquartered in New York, New York, specializes in the global creation and distribution of literary and educational materials for young people.

Faircurve's model found a fair value of $36.30 a share on 12 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This fair value moved +4.2% since the previous run on 3 Oct 2026, which gave $34.83. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $29.92 to $43.62, built from the fair value. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown.

The model's overall quality score is 34 out of 100, a composite of six quality factors against comparable companies. Notable factors include Capital discipline at 78, with Net buybacks / market value at 40.0% against a peer median of 0.9%, and Balance sheet at 75, with Net debt / EBITDA at 1.36x against a peer median of 2.84x. The model compares it with The New York Times Company (NYT), News Corporation (NWSA), News Corporation (NWS), QuinStreet, Inc. (QNST), and Yelp Inc. (YELP).

Written from the figures on this page for the 12 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.

The Global Pulse

Faircurve's note after each US session, in your inbox. No account needed.

When does SCHL report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?

Scholastic's next earnings report is scheduled for 17 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.

Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed

Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across SCHL's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 10.9%.

0%10%20%no quote19.6%19 Dec '24no quote10.8%20 Mar '25no quote18.2%24 Jul '25no quote11.0%18 Sep '25no quote5.8%18 Dec '25no quote11.6%19 Mar '26no quote6.9%23 Jul '2620.7%8.5%24 Sep '26priced before the reportthe move that followed
What the options market priced for each report, against the size of the move that followed. Priced: the move implied by options expiring after the report, on the last quote before it. Followed: the close before the report to the close after. Sizes only, no direction.

How does SCHL score on business quality?

Scholastic's overall quality score is 34 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.

FactorScore (0 to 100)Headline measurePeer median
ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend.91.6%ROIC11.3%
Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash).14-0.25xFCF / net income
Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions.34-2.7%Revenue growth, trailing-4.0%
Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks.7840.0%Net buybacks / market value0.9%
Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage.751.36xNet debt / EBITDA2.84x
StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years.631.8 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y2.1 pts

How does SCHL compare with similar companies?

The companies in publishing closest to Scholastic in market value, each on the same model and the same date.

CompanyLast closeModel fair valueGapModel verdict
NYT The New York Times Company$66.88$65.12-2.6%Fairly valued
NWSA News Corporation$29.63$28.62-3.4%Fairly valued
NWS News Corporation$32.58$30.72-5.7%Fairly valued
QNST QuinStreet, Inc.$15.76$14.51-7.9%Fairly valued
SHEN Shenandoah Telecommunications Company$10.52$9.39-10.7%Low evidence grade
YELP Yelp Inc.$18.92$23.01+21.6%Undervalued
CCOI Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc.$8.57n/an/aData under review
GOGO Gogo Inc.$2.18$2.32+6.7%Low evidence grade

What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for SCHL, the peer-implied price, is $24.45 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.

All communication services stocks ranked by gap to fair value

Scholastic at a glance

Scholastic Corporation, a company founded in 1920 and headquartered in New York, New York, specializes in the global creation and distribution of literary and educational materials for young people.

Market value
$728M
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Publishing
Revenue expected, next twelve months
$1.6B
Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
+2.1%
Analysts with estimates
2
Beta to the US market
0.32
First valued by Faircurve
11 Jul 2026

How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Scholastic on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.

What changed in the latest valuation?

On 3 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for SCHL was $34.83. As of 12 Oct 2026 it is $36.30, a change of +4.2%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.

Questions about Scholastic's valuation

Is Scholastic stock undervalued or overvalued?

Faircurve's model puts SCHL's fair value at $36.30 a share against a last close of $39.26, as of 12 Oct 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.

What is SCHL's fair value?

$36.30 a share as of 12 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $18.47 to $61.29.

What price range does the model give SCHL?

$29.92 to $43.62 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,214 past valuations, refreshed 10 Oct 2026.

When does Scholastic report earnings next?

The next report is scheduled for 17 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.

How much has SCHL moved on past earnings reports?

Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 10.9%, ignoring direction. The largest was -19.6% around the report of 19 Dec 2024.

How confident is the model in this valuation?

The model's evidence grade for SCHL is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.

The model's own ideas on SCHL

The model holds no idea open on SCHL today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on SCHL with their outcomes. A free account is enough.

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