NASDAQ: NWS · Publishing
News (NWS) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values News (NWS) at $29.21 a share. The stock last closed at $31.65, which puts the model's fair value 7.7% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. News Corporation.
Faircurve Insights · 3 Oct 2026
News Corporation is a global enterprise in media and information services, creating and distributing content and a variety of products and services for consumers and businesses worldwide.
On 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model found a fair value of $29.21 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 26 Sep 2026, gave $29.75, so the fair value moved -1.8%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $24.37 to $35.41, built from the fair value, since there is no live options data for the stock. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, and the model graded the evidence as Medium.
The company's overall quality score is 56 out of 100 against comparable companies, with profitability at 22, earnings quality at 94, growth quality at 47, capital discipline at 63, balance sheet at 69, and stability at 82. Faircurve's model compares it with News Corporation (NWSA), The New York Times Company (NYT), Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC), and Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG). Moves around the last 8 earnings reports range from -8.7% to +4.0%, with a median size of 3.5% ignoring direction.
Written from the figures on this page for the 3 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give NWS?
The calibrated range for NWS over 63 trading days is $24.37 to $35.41. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $22.22 to $37.62. In 40% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does NWS score on business quality?
News's overall quality score is 56 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 22 | 7.3%ROIC | 10.8% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 94 | 1.86xFCF / net income | 1.44x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 47 | 6.8%Revenue growth, trailing | 6.8% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 63 | 4.7%Net buybacks / market value | 3.5% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 69 | 0.54xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.68x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 82 | 1.3 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.8 pts |
How does NWS compare with similar companies?
The companies in publishing closest to News in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWSA News Corporation | $28.69 | $27.05 | -5.7% | Fairly valued |
| NYT The New York Times Company | $62.70 | $65.00 | +3.7% | Fairly valued |
| SCHL Scholastic Corporation | $36.20 | $34.83 | -3.8% | Low evidence grade |
| ECHO EchoStar Corporation | $94.25 | $78.46 | -16.8% | Data under review |
| OMC Omnicom Group Inc. | $74.15 | $84.81 | +14.4% | Fairly valued |
| CHTR Charter Communications, Inc. | $109.29 | $154.88 | +41.7% | Low evidence grade |
| WMG Warner Music Group Corp. | $26.82 | $31.80 | +18.6% | Undervalued |
| TKO TKO Group Holdings, Inc. | $175.58 | $203.77 | +16.1% | Low evidence grade |
All communication services stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does NWS report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
News's next earnings report is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How NWS moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 3.5%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | +3.5% |
| 7 May 2026 | +3.6% |
| 5 Feb 2026 | -8.7% |
| 6 Nov 2025 | +3.7% |
| 5 Aug 2025 | +0.9% |
| 8 May 2025 | -0.3% |
| 5 Feb 2025 | +0.3% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | +4.0% |
News at a glance
News Corporation stands as a leading global enterprise in media and information services, dedicated to creating and distributing compelling, authoritative content, alongside a variety of products and services, for consumers and businesses worldwide.
- Market value
- $17.3B
- Sector
- Communication Services
- Industry
- Publishing
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $9.5B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +4.2%
- Analysts with estimates
- 3
- Beta to the US market
- 0.26
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices News on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for NWS was $29.75. As of 3 Oct 2026 it is $29.21, a change of -1.8%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about News's valuation
Is News stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, NWS reads as Fairly valued as of 3 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $29.21 a share against a last close of $31.65, a gap of -7.7%.
What is NWS's fair value?
$29.21 a share as of 3 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $22.22 to $37.62.
What price range does the model give NWS?
$24.37 to $35.41 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026.
When does News report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has NWS moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 3.5%, ignoring direction. The largest was -8.7% around the report of 5 Feb 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for NWS is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.