NYSE: SPNT · Reinsurance
SiriusPoint (SPNT) fair value and price range
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values SiriusPoint (SPNT) at $20.37 a share. The stock last closed at $26.27, which puts the model's fair value 22.5% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. SiriusPoint Ltd.
The report adds the live price, the price chart and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $20.85 to $20.37 (-2.3%). The model does not yet explain moves on this valuation method.
What the model makes of itThe price of $26.27 is 22.5% above it. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What's nextNo report date on file. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give SPNT?
The calibrated range for SPNT over 63 trading days is $16.50 to $24.33. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is above this range. For names with fair value 15%+ below price, the calibrated range has held the price 35% of the time over 63 trading days, and 64% ended above it; the typical move was −4.7%.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $15.74 to $25.68. In 19% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
SiriusPoint Ltd. (SPNT) provides multi-line reinsurance and insurance products and services worldwide. It operates in four segments: Global P&C Programs, Global Reinsurance, Global Accident & Health, and London Market Specialty.
Faircurve's model gives SiriusPoint a fair value of $20.37 a share on 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $20.85, so the fair value moved -2.3%. The model does not yet explain moves on this valuation method. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $16.50 to $24.33, built from the fair value because there is no live options data for the stock. Calibrated weekly against realised prices, this method held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, based on 10,454 past valuations. The model grades the evidence as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at the number and agreement of comparable companies, the width of the range of outcomes, and whether the valuation methods agree. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
The sheet gives no quality scores for SiriusPoint, so this note cannot compare its quality with peers. The model compares it with Provident Financial Services, Inc. (PFS), BankUnited, Inc. (BKU), First Hawaiian, Inc. (FHB) and WisdomTree, Inc. (WT). Four further companies, RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. (RNR), Everest Group, Ltd. (EG), Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated (RGA) and Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO), have no verdict on this date.
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
The Global Pulse
Faircurve's note after each US session, in your inbox. No account needed.
When does SPNT report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across SPNT's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 2.5%.
How does SPNT compare with similar companies?
The companies in reinsurance closest to SiriusPoint in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RNR RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | $354.23 | $387.89 | +9.5% | Low evidence grade |
| EG Everest Group, Ltd. | $417.79 | $499.61 | +19.6% | Low evidence grade |
| RGA Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated | $261.96 | $204.67 | -21.9% | Low evidence grade |
| PFS Provident Financial Services, Inc. | $22.94 | $24.99 | +8.9% | Fairly valued |
| BKU BankUnited, Inc. | $44.54 | $46.26 | +3.9% | Fairly valued |
| FHB First Hawaiian, Inc. | $25.12 | $23.80 | -5.3% | Fairly valued |
| AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd. | $71.76 | $66.24 | -7.7% | Low evidence grade |
| WT WisdomTree, Inc. | $19.01 | $16.48 | -13.3% | Fairly valued |
SiriusPoint at a glance
SiriusPoint Ltd. provides multi-line reinsurance and insurance products and services worldwide. It operates in four segments: Global P&C Programs, Global Reinsurance, Global Accident & Health, and London Market Specialty.
- Market value
- $3.0B
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Reinsurance
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -5.9%
- Analysts with estimates
- 4
- Beta to the US market
- -0.04
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices SiriusPoint on the share price against the net assets on the balance sheet, adjusted for the earnings analysts expect (price to book value), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for SPNT was $20.85. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $20.37, a change of -2.3%. The model does not yet explain moves on this valuation method. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about SiriusPoint's valuation
Is SiriusPoint stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts SPNT's fair value at $20.37 a share against a last close of $26.27, as of 31 Oct 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is SPNT's fair value?
$20.37 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $15.74 to $25.68.
What price range does the model give SPNT?
$16.50 to $24.33 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
How much has SPNT moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 2.5%, ignoring direction. The largest was -10.1% around the report of 29 Jul 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for SPNT is low. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on SPNT
The model holds no idea open on SPNT today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on SPNT with their outcomes. A free account is enough.