NYSE: SPNT ยท Reinsurance
SiriusPoint (SPNT) fair value and price range
As of 19 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values SiriusPoint (SPNT) at $19.54 a share. The stock last closed at $25.17, which puts the model's fair value 22.4% below the price. No verdict is shown for SPNT. Banks, insurers and real estate investment trusts (REITs) are valued with a separate method, and the model's evidence grade has not been worked out for that method yet. The fair value is shown for reference.
Revalued . Price is the close of 21 Sep 2026. SiriusPoint Ltd.
What price range does the model give SPNT?
The calibrated range for SPNT over 63 trading days is $16.49 to $23.95. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 3,913 past valuations, refreshed 19 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is above this range. For names with fair value 15%+ below price, the calibrated range has held the price 39% of the time over 63 trading days, and 58% ended above it; the typical move was +0.5%.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $15.10 to $24.64. In 20% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does SPNT compare with similar companies?
The companies in reinsurance closest to SiriusPoint in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RNR RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | $326.29 | $472.80 | +44.9% | Not graded yet |
| EG Everest Group, Ltd. | $369.42 | $504.90 | +36.7% | Not graded yet |
| RGA Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated | $245.13 | $256.91 | +4.8% | Not graded yet |
| BHF Brighthouse Financial, Inc. | $49.84 | $169.14 | +239.4% | Gap wider than 60% |
| BANC Banc of California, Inc. | $18.29 | $22.76 | +24.4% | Not graded yet |
| BOH Bank of Hawaii Corporation | $72.82 | $74.97 | +3.0% | Not graded yet |
| PFS Provident Financial Services, Inc. | $22.93 | $24.79 | +8.1% | Not graded yet |
| FBK FB Financial Corporation | $53.60 | $48.02 | -10.4% | Not graded yet |
When does SPNT report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
SiriusPoint's next earnings report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How SPNT moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 3.7%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | -10.1% |
| 7 May 2026 | +0.7% |
| 18 Feb 2026 | +4.9% |
| 30 Oct 2025 | -0.3% |
| 4 Aug 2025 | -6.0% |
| 5 May 2025 | +21.4% |
| 18 Feb 2025 | -1.2% |
| 31 Oct 2024 | -2.6% |
SiriusPoint at a glance
SiriusPoint Ltd. provides multi-line reinsurance and insurance products and services worldwide. It operates in four segments: Global P&C Programs, Global Reinsurance, Global Accident & Health, and London Market Specialty.
- Market value
- $2.9B
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Reinsurance
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -3.0%
- Analysts with estimates
- 3
- Beta to the US market
- 0.01
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices SiriusPoint on the share price against the net assets on the balance sheet, adjusted for the earnings analysts expect (price to book value), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 12 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for SPNT was $19.55. As of 19 Sep 2026 it is $19.54, a change of -0.1%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about SiriusPoint's valuation
Is SiriusPoint stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts SPNT's fair value at $19.54 a share against a last close of $25.17, as of 19 Sep 2026. No verdict is shown for SPNT. Banks, insurers and real estate investment trusts (REITs) are valued with a separate method, and the model's evidence grade has not been worked out for that method yet. The fair value is shown for reference.
What is SPNT's fair value?
$19.54 a share as of 19 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $15.10 to $24.64.
What price range does the model give SPNT?
$16.49 to $23.95 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 3,913 past valuations, refreshed 19 Sep 2026.
When does SiriusPoint report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has SPNT moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 3.7%, ignoring direction. The largest was +21.4% around the report of 5 May 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
Model confidence for SPNT has not been graded yet. Banks, insurers and real estate investment trusts are valued with a separate method, and the evidence grade has not been worked out for it. No grade is a probability that a fair value is right.