NYSE: VNT · Hardware, Equipment & Parts
Vontier (VNT) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Vontier (VNT) at $47.37 a share. The stock last closed at $36.56, which puts the model's fair value 29.6% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Undervalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 3 Nov 2026. Vontier Corporation.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $45.80 to $47.37 (+3.4%). The multiple the model anchors on moved, lifting the fair value: most of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $36.56 is 29.6% below it: Undervalued, on a medium evidence grade.
What's nextNo report date on file. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give VNT?
The calibrated range for VNT over 63 trading days is $38.37 to $56.58. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is below this range. For names with fair value 15 to 30% above price, the calibrated range has held the price 52% of the time over 63 trading days, and 45% ended below it; the typical move was +0.4%.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $35.41 to $61.13. In 79% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
Vontier Corporation is a global technology company. It designs, produces, markets and distributes advanced equipment, software, components and services, with a core focus on the global mobility infrastructure sector.
Faircurve's model put the fair value of Vontier at $47.37 a share on 31 Oct 2026. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $45.80, so the fair value moved +3.4%. In the model's words, "The multiple the model anchors on moved, lifting the fair value: most of the move." The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $38.37 to $56.58. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is Medium. It looks at input completeness, the number and agreement of comparable companies, and the width of outcomes. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
Vontier scores 61 out of 100 on the model's quality composite, measured against comparable companies. Profitability and stability both score 100. Profitability shows ROIC of 16.0% against a peer median of 8.1%. Growth quality scores 29, with trailing revenue growth of 3.2% against a peer median of 8.3%. The balance sheet scores 36, with net debt to EBITDA of 2.81x against a peer median of 1.55x. The model compares it with Plexus Corp. (PLXS), Sensata Technologies Holding plc (ST), Universal Display Corporation (OLED), ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE), OSI Systems, Inc. (OSIS), Ralliant Corp (RAL), Knowles Corporation (KN) and Itron, Inc. (ITRI).
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does VNT report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across VNT's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.3%.
How does VNT score on business quality?
Vontier's overall quality score is 61 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 100 | 16.0%ROIC | 8.1% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 31 | 0.96xFCF / net income | 1.43x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 29 | 3.2%Revenue growth, trailing | 8.3% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 50 | 8.2%Net buybacks / market value | 1.6% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 36 | 2.81xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.55x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 100 | 0.2 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.4 pts |
How does VNT compare with similar companies?
The companies in hardware, equipment & parts closest to Vontier in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITRI Itron, Inc. | $98.22 | $96.87 | -1.4% | Low evidence grade |
| PLXS Plexus Corp. | $216.78 | $194.91 | -10.1% | Fairly valued |
| ST Sensata Technologies Holding plc | $41.64 | $46.16 | +10.9% | Fairly valued |
| OLED Universal Display Corporation | $89.40 | $91.08 | +1.9% | Fairly valued |
| ESE ESCO Technologies Inc. | $250.59 | $248.14 | -1.0% | Fairly valued |
| OSIS OSI Systems, Inc. | $200.95 | $220.97 | +10.0% | Fairly valued |
| RAL Ralliant Corp | $71.31 | $66.80 | -6.3% | Fairly valued |
| KN Knowles Corporation | $34.00 | $32.88 | -3.3% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for VNT, the peer-implied price, is $85.43 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
All hardware, equipment & parts stocks ranked by gap to fair value
Vontier at a glance
Vontier Corporation is a global technology company specializing in the design, production, marketing, and distribution of advanced equipment, software, components, and services. Its core focus is on enhancing the global mobility infrastructure sector.
- Market value
- $4.8B
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Hardware, Equipment & Parts
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $3.1B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -1.5%
- Analysts with estimates
- 5
- Beta to the US market
- 0.82
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 3 Nov 2026, 52.1% of the 1,081 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. VNT was among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Vontier on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for VNT was $45.80. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $47.37, a change of +3.4%. The multiple the model anchors on moved, lifting the fair value: most of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Vontier's valuation
Is Vontier stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, VNT reads as Undervalued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $47.37 a share against a last close of $36.56, a gap of +29.6%.
What is VNT's fair value?
$47.37 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $35.41 to $61.13.
What price range does the model give VNT?
$38.37 to $56.58 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
How much has VNT moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.3%, ignoring direction. The largest was -14.1% around the report of 7 May 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for VNT is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on VNT
The model holds no idea open on VNT today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on VNT with their outcomes. A free account is enough.